feat: macro series

This commit is contained in:
OpenSquared
2026-06-30 19:08:33 +02:00
parent b8a1d2ad07
commit bb614936c3
5 changed files with 417 additions and 91 deletions

View File

@@ -740,3 +740,63 @@ def eco_status() -> Dict[str, Any]:
}
finally:
conn.close()
# ── Macro Series Log ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
@router.get("/series-log")
def get_series_log(
series_id: str = Query(...),
from_date: str = Query("2020-01-01"),
limit: int = Query(500, le=2000),
) -> List[Dict[str, Any]]:
"""Return logged actual/forecast snapshots for a given series (change events only)."""
from services.database import get_conn
conn = get_conn()
try:
rows = conn.execute(
"""SELECT series_id, event_name, event_date, actual_value, forecast_value,
previous_value, currency, impact, logged_at, source, changed
FROM macro_series_log
WHERE series_id = ? AND event_date >= ?
ORDER BY event_date ASC, logged_at ASC
LIMIT ?""",
(series_id, from_date, limit)
).fetchall()
return [dict(r) for r in rows]
finally:
conn.close()
@router.get("/series-log/distinct-series")
def list_logged_series() -> List[Dict[str, Any]]:
"""Return all series_id that have entries in macro_series_log."""
from services.database import get_conn
conn = get_conn()
try:
rows = conn.execute(
"""SELECT series_id, event_name,
COUNT(*) as log_count,
MIN(event_date) as first_date,
MAX(event_date) as last_date,
MAX(logged_at) as last_logged
FROM macro_series_log
GROUP BY series_id
ORDER BY last_date DESC"""
).fetchall()
return [dict(r) for r in rows]
finally:
conn.close()
@router.post("/series-log/backfill")
def backfill_series_log() -> Dict[str, Any]:
"""Seed macro_series_log from existing ff_calendar rows (one-time historical import)."""
from services.database import get_conn
from services.macro_series_log import backfill_from_ff_calendar
conn = get_conn()
try:
result = backfill_from_ff_calendar(conn)
return result
finally:
conn.close()

View File

@@ -47,6 +47,17 @@ def calendar_sync(weeks_ahead: int = 8) -> Dict[str, Any]:
result = {"error": str(e)}
source = "error"
# After calendar upsert, log any forecast/actual changes to macro_series_log
try:
from services.database import get_conn
from services.macro_series_log import scan_and_log_all
_conn = get_conn()
log_result = scan_and_log_all(_conn, source=source)
_conn.close()
result["_log"] = log_result
except Exception as e:
logger.warning(f"[calendar_sync] macro_series_log scan failed: {e}")
_sync_status["running"] = False
_sync_status["last_result"] = result
_sync_status["source"] = source

View File

@@ -715,6 +715,29 @@ def init_db():
except Exception:
pass # Column already exists
# ── Macro Series Log ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────
# One row per change: actual or forecast changed vs previous snapshot.
# Allows tracking forecast revisions over time + actual vs consensus history.
c.execute("""CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS macro_series_log (
id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY AUTOINCREMENT,
series_id TEXT NOT NULL,
event_name TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '',
event_date TEXT NOT NULL,
actual_value REAL,
forecast_value REAL,
previous_value REAL,
currency TEXT DEFAULT '',
impact TEXT DEFAULT '',
logged_at TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT (datetime('now')),
source TEXT DEFAULT 'calendar_sync',
changed TEXT DEFAULT 'new'
)""")
try:
c.execute("CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_msl_series ON macro_series_log(series_id, event_date)")
c.execute("CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_msl_logged ON macro_series_log(logged_at DESC)")
except Exception:
pass
# ── Specialist Desks ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c.execute("""CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS specialist_reports (
id TEXT PRIMARY KEY,

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,159 @@
"""
Macro series log — tracks changes to actual_value and forecast_value over time.
Called after each calendar sync to detect and persist revisions.
"""
import logging
from datetime import datetime, timezone
from typing import Optional
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
def _parse_num(v) -> Optional[float]:
"""Convert FF text value (e.g. '178K', '0.3%', '-92K') to float or None."""
if v is None:
return None
s = str(v).strip().replace('%', '').replace('K', 'e3').replace('M', 'e6').replace('B', 'e9')
try:
return float(s)
except Exception:
return None
def log_if_changed(conn, series_id: str, event_name: str, event_date: str,
actual_value, forecast_value, previous_value,
currency: str = '', impact: str = '',
source: str = 'calendar_sync') -> bool:
"""
Compare (actual, forecast) against the last log entry for this series+date.
Insert a new row only if something changed or it's the first time we see it.
Returns True if a row was inserted.
"""
actual_num = _parse_num(actual_value)
forecast_num = _parse_num(forecast_value)
previous_num = _parse_num(previous_value)
# Nothing to log if both actual and forecast are None
if actual_num is None and forecast_num is None:
return False
last = conn.execute(
"""SELECT actual_value, forecast_value FROM macro_series_log
WHERE series_id=? AND event_date=?
ORDER BY logged_at DESC LIMIT 1""",
(series_id, event_date)
).fetchone()
if last is None:
changed = 'new'
else:
prev_actual = last['actual_value']
prev_forecast = last['forecast_value']
actual_changed = actual_num != prev_actual and actual_num is not None
forecast_changed = forecast_num != prev_forecast and forecast_num is not None
if not actual_changed and not forecast_changed:
return False
if actual_changed and forecast_changed:
changed = 'both'
elif actual_changed:
changed = 'actual'
else:
changed = 'forecast'
conn.execute(
"""INSERT INTO macro_series_log
(series_id, event_name, event_date, actual_value, forecast_value,
previous_value, currency, impact, logged_at, source, changed)
VALUES (?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?)""",
(series_id, event_name or '', event_date,
actual_num, forecast_num, previous_num,
currency or '', impact or '',
datetime.now(timezone.utc).strftime('%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S'),
source, changed)
)
conn.commit()
return True
def backfill_from_ff_calendar(conn) -> dict:
"""
Seed macro_series_log from existing ff_calendar rows (historical).
Only inserts rows that don't already exist (idempotent).
Skips events without series_id.
"""
rows = conn.execute(
"""SELECT series_id, event_name, event_date, actual_value, forecast_value,
previous_value, currency, impact, fetched_at
FROM ff_calendar
WHERE series_id IS NOT NULL AND series_id != ''
AND (actual_value IS NOT NULL OR forecast_value IS NOT NULL)
ORDER BY event_date ASC"""
).fetchall()
inserted = 0
for r in rows:
already = conn.execute(
"SELECT 1 FROM macro_series_log WHERE series_id=? AND event_date=? AND source='backfill' LIMIT 1",
(r['series_id'], r['event_date'])
).fetchone()
if already:
continue
actual_num = _parse_num(r['actual_value'])
forecast_num = _parse_num(r['forecast_value'])
previous_num = _parse_num(r['previous_value'])
if actual_num is None and forecast_num is None:
continue
logged_at = r['fetched_at'] or r['event_date']
changed = 'actual' if actual_num is not None else 'forecast'
conn.execute(
"""INSERT OR IGNORE INTO macro_series_log
(series_id, event_name, event_date, actual_value, forecast_value,
previous_value, currency, impact, logged_at, source, changed)
VALUES (?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?)""",
(r['series_id'], r['event_name'] or '', r['event_date'],
actual_num, forecast_num, previous_num,
r['currency'] or '', r['impact'] or '',
logged_at, 'backfill', changed)
)
inserted += 1
conn.commit()
logger.info(f"[macro_series_log] backfill: {inserted} rows inserted from ff_calendar")
return {"inserted": inserted, "scanned": len(rows)}
def scan_and_log_all(conn, source: str = 'calendar_sync') -> dict:
"""
After a calendar sync, scan all ff_calendar rows with series_id and log any changes.
Typically called at end of each 6h sync cycle.
"""
rows = conn.execute(
"""SELECT series_id, event_name, event_date, actual_value, forecast_value,
previous_value, currency, impact
FROM ff_calendar
WHERE series_id IS NOT NULL AND series_id != ''
AND (actual_value IS NOT NULL OR forecast_value IS NOT NULL)"""
).fetchall()
logged = 0
for r in rows:
did_log = log_if_changed(
conn,
series_id=r['series_id'],
event_name=r['event_name'] or '',
event_date=r['event_date'],
actual_value=r['actual_value'],
forecast_value=r['forecast_value'],
previous_value=r['previous_value'],
currency=r['currency'] or '',
impact=r['impact'] or '',
source=source,
)
if did_log:
logged += 1
logger.info(f"[macro_series_log] scan_and_log_all: {logged} changes logged out of {len(rows)} rows")
return {"logged": logged, "scanned": len(rows)}