diff --git a/frontend/src/pages/EuroSimulator.tsx b/frontend/src/pages/EuroSimulator.tsx
index ff9705d..b1bd56e 100644
--- a/frontend/src/pages/EuroSimulator.tsx
+++ b/frontend/src/pages/EuroSimulator.tsx
@@ -280,8 +280,9 @@ function CausalChain({ r, base, p }: { r: ModelResult; base: Params; p: Params }
 
   // ── Node colors ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
   // CPI/NFP/PMI inputs → forward guidance signal (positive = hawkish Fed = red for EUR)
-  const fedFwdC  = col3(r.fed_fwd_signal,    0.4)
-  const ecbFwdC  = col3(-r.ecb_fwd_signal,   0.4)   // ECB hawkish fwd signal → green for EUR
+  // Threshold 0.08 so PMI alone (~0.09-0.15 at typical deviations) triggers color
+  const fedFwdC  = col3(r.fed_fwd_signal,    0.08)
+  const ecbFwdC  = col3(-r.ecb_fwd_signal,   0.08)   // ECB hawkish fwd signal → green for EUR
 
   // CB nodes: combined rate + tone signal dominates
   const fedC = col3(r.fed_rate_pressure + r.fed_fwd_signal * 0.4, 0.25)