Sprint 2.1 — Pattern Reliability Score
- database.py: get_pattern_reliability() — win_rate × log(n+1) sur trades matures (≥35% horizon)
- database.py: get_all_pattern_reliability_map() pour injection rapide dans les prompts
- ai_analyzer.py: inject reliability_map dans suggest_patterns (patterns fiables mis en avant)
- auto_cycle.py: charge reliability_map avant suggestion et le passe au suggéreur
- routers/analytics.py: GET /api/analytics/reliability
- PatternEditor.tsx: ReliabilityBadge sur chaque card + usePatternReliability hook
- useApi.ts: usePatternReliability, useCalibration hooks
Sprint 2.2 — Contre-thèses & Invalidation Triggers
- database.py: migration ALTER TABLE — counter_thesis, invalidation_trigger, invalidation_probability
- database.py: save_custom_pattern() persiste les 3 nouveaux champs
- ai_analyzer.py: counter_thesis + invalidation_trigger + invalidation_probability dans le JSON schema
- auto_cycle.py: détection automatique des triggers d'invalidation contre les news (keyword match)
- routers/analytics.py: GET /api/analytics/invalidation-alerts
- PatternEditor.tsx: affichage contre-thèse dans les cards + champs dans le formulaire
- PatternEditor.tsx: affichage dans AiSuggestModal (suggestions IA)
- routers/patterns.py: PatternRequest inclut les 3 nouveaux champs
Sprint 2.3 — Calibration probabiliste & Demi-vie KB
- database.py: migration — predicted_probability sur pattern_score_history
- database.py: save_pattern_scores() stocke probability du pattern à chaque scoring run
- database.py: get_calibration_data() — Brier score + buckets de calibration par décile
- database.py: expires_at + confidence_decay_days sur knowledge_base
- database.py: decay_kb_confidence() — decay automatique + archivage à 0
- auto_cycle.py: decay_kb_confidence() appelé au début de chaque cycle (non-bloquant)
- routers/analytics.py: GET /api/analytics/calibration + POST /api/analytics/kb/decay
- frontend/src/pages/Analytics.tsx: nouvelle page — tableau fiabilité + calibration Brier
- App.tsx + Sidebar.tsx: route /analytics + entrée menu
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- auto_cycle.py: next_run_at now set to future timestamp (now + interval)
instead of current time — was always showing wrong value
- Config.tsx: NextRunCountdown component shows live countdown (updates
every second) + absolute local time, only visible when auto-cycle enabled
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Fix NameError: len(meaningful) → len(meaningful_mature) (ligne 624)
- _auto_synthesize_knowledge() appelé même si pas assez de trades matures,
pour que le Super Contexte se mette à jour à chaque cycle (gate 6h suffit)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- ai_analyzer: add explicit calibration rules to SYSTEM_SCORER and batch
prompt so GPT-4o produces a spread of scores rather than defaulting
to 50 for all patterns (0-news patterns capped at 35, contra patterns
at 40, high-signal patterns can reach 70-85)
- auto_cycle: add _auto_synthesize_knowledge() called after each auto
portfolio snapshot; skips if last synthesis < 6h old to avoid
redundant GPT-4o calls — Super Contexte now updates automatically
every cycle without manual intervention
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
