{ "instruments": [ { "id": "SPY", "name": "S&P 500 ETF", "yf_ticker": "SPY", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "SPY", "exchange": "CBOE", "category": "equity_index", "currency": "USD", "description": "US large-cap equity benchmark — 500 plus grandes capitalisations américaines", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "fed_policy", "label": "Fed Policy", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.9, "keywords": [ "FOMC", "Fed", "Federal Reserve", "Powell", "taux directeur", "pivot", "dot plot", "QT", "QE", "taux Fed" ] }, { "key": "earnings_growth", "label": "Earnings Growth", "type": "report", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "Earnings", "EPS", "bénéfices", "résultats", "Earnings Season", "reporting", "profits" ] }, { "key": "real_rates", "label": "Real Rates", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "taux réels", "TIPS", "real yields", "breakeven", "inflation", "CPI", "PCE" ] }, { "key": "liquidity", "label": "Global Liquidity", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.7, "keywords": [ "liquidité", "liquidity", "QE", "QT", "bilan Fed", "repo", "M2", "conditions financières" ] }, { "key": "vix", "label": "VIX / Fear", "type": "sentiment", "weight": 0.6, "keywords": [ "VIX", "volatilité", "vol spike", "hedging", "protection", "skew", "put", "peur", "fear" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Risk-On Bull", "Risk-Off Bear", "Stagflation", "Rate Shock", "Recovery" ], "event_keywords": [ "FOMC", "CPI", "NFP", "GDP", "Earnings Season", "Fed Chair", "VIX" ], "related_assets": [ "SPX", "SPY", "QQQ", "ES" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "QQQ", "TLT", "HYG", "VXX" ], "ai_context": "SPY tracks the S&P 500. Bullish: dovish Fed, strong earnings, liquidity expansion. Bearish: rate hikes, recession, credit events. Watch: VIX, HYG spreads, FOMC." }, { "id": "QQQ", "name": "Nasdaq 100 ETF", "yf_ticker": "QQQ", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "QQQ", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "category": "equity_index", "currency": "USD", "description": "US large-cap tech and growth benchmark — 100 plus grandes valeurs Nasdaq", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "real_rates", "label": "Real Rates", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.9, "keywords": [ "taux réels", "TIPS", "real yields", "FOMC", "Fed", "CPI", "breakeven" ] }, { "key": "ai_capex", "label": "AI Capex", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "IA", "AI", "Nvidia", "Microsoft", "capex tech", "data center", "GPU", "intelligence artificielle", "ChatGPT" ] }, { "key": "megacaps", "label": "Mégacaps GAFAM", "type": "report", "weight": 0.8, "keywords": [ "GAFAM", "Apple", "Meta", "Alphabet", "Amazon", "Microsoft", "earnings tech", "Big Tech", "résultats tech" ] }, { "key": "growth", "label": "Croissance US", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "croissance", "GDP", "récession", "NFP", "emploi", "PMI", "croissance économique" ] }, { "key": "dollar", "label": "Dollar Index", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.5, "keywords": [ "Dollar", "DXY", "dollar index", "EUR/USD", "devise" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Tech Bull (AI-Driven)", "Tech Bear", "Rate Compression", "Earnings Crash", "Recovery" ], "event_keywords": [ "FOMC", "Big Tech Earnings", "CPI", "AI", "Rate", "NVDA", "AAPL" ], "related_assets": [ "QQQ", "NDX", "NQ" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "SPY", "TLT", "NVDA", "AAPL" ], "ai_context": "QQQ tracks Nasdaq 100. Bullish: dovish Fed, AI capex boom, Big Tech earnings. Bearish: rate hikes, earnings misses, AI regulation. Watch: real yields, mega-cap earnings." }, { "id": "IWM", "name": "Russell 2000 ETF", "yf_ticker": "IWM", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "IWM", "exchange": "NYSE", "category": "equity_index", "currency": "USD", "description": "US small-cap equity benchmark — 2000 petites capitalisations américaines", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "gdp_growth", "label": "Croissance US", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "GDP", "PIB", "croissance US", "NFP", "emploi", "récession", "PMI", "domestic growth" ] }, { "key": "credit", "label": "Crédit & Spreads", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.8, "keywords": [ "crédit", "credit", "HY", "high yield", "spreads", "LBO", "conditions de crédit", "credit crunch" ] }, { "key": "regional_banks", "label": "Banques Régionales", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "banques régionales", "SVB", "FDIC", "banque", "banking", "bank failure", "crédit bancaire" ] }, { "key": "dollar", "label": "Dollar Index", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.6, "keywords": [ "Dollar", "DXY", "dollar fort", "USD strength" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Small Cap Expansion", "Credit Crunch Squeeze", "Risk-Off", "Recovery", "Neutral" ], "event_keywords": [ "FOMC", "Credit", "GDP", "NFP", "Rates", "Regional Banks" ], "related_assets": [ "IWM", "RTY", "RUT" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "SPY", "HYG", "TLT" ], "ai_context": "IWM tracks Russell 2000. Heavily credit-sensitive. Bullish: credit loosening, domestic growth. Bearish: credit tightening, recession, dollar strength. Watch: HYG spreads, regional bank health." }, { "id": "EEM", "name": "Emerging Markets ETF", "yf_ticker": "EEM", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "EEM", "exchange": "NYSE", "category": "equity_intl", "currency": "USD", "description": "MSCI Emerging Markets — grandes capitalisations des marchés émergents", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "dollar_index", "label": "Dollar Index", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.9, "keywords": [ "Dollar", "DXY", "USD", "dollar index", "dollar fort", "faible dollar" ] }, { "key": "china_growth", "label": "Chine / PBoC", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "China", "Chine", "PBOC", "PBoC", "PIB chinois", "Xi", "immobilier chinois", "stimulus Chine", "relance Chine" ] }, { "key": "em_flows", "label": "Flux EM", "type": "sentiment", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "EM", "émergents", "emerging", "flows", "flux", "capitaux émergents" ] }, { "key": "commodities", "label": "Matières Premières", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.7, "keywords": [ "matières premières", "commodities", "minerai", "pétrole", "métaux", "commodité" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "EM Growth Rally", "Dollar Squeeze", "China Risk-Off", "Commodity Lift", "Neutral" ], "event_keywords": [ "China GDP", "Dollar", "EM", "PBOC", "Commodities", "stimulus Chine" ], "related_assets": [ "EEM", "EM", "CNY", "China" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "GLD", "USO", "EURUSD=X" ], "ai_context": "EEM tracks MSCI Emerging Markets. Bullish: PBOC stimulus, commodities rally, weak USD. Bearish: Fed tightening, China slowdown, trade tensions. Watch: USDCNY, China PMI, EM bond flows." }, { "id": "EFA", "name": "MSCI EAFE ETF", "yf_ticker": "EFA", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "EFA", "exchange": "NYSE", "category": "equity_intl", "currency": "USD", "description": "MSCI EAFE — Europe, Australasie, Extrême-Orient (hors US/Canada)", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "ecb_policy", "label": "BCE / ECB", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "BCE", "ECB", "Lagarde", "taux BCE", "zone euro", "politique BCE", "ECB rate" ] }, { "key": "energy", "label": "Énergie Europe", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.8, "keywords": [ "énergie", "gaz européen", "pétrole", "LNG", "crisis énergétique", "energy", "energy price" ] }, { "key": "eurusd", "label": "EUR/USD", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "EUR/USD", "euro dollar", "eurusd", "parité euro", "euro fort", "euro faible" ] }, { "key": "european_growth", "label": "Croissance Européenne", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.7, "keywords": [ "Europe", "zone euro", "Allemagne", "PIB européen", "PMI Europe", "récession Europe", "croissance européenne" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Global Risk-On", "USD Strength Drag", "Europe Recession", "Recovery", "Neutral" ], "event_keywords": [ "ECB", "EU GDP", "Europe", "Germany", "BOJ", "Japan", "EUR" ], "related_assets": [ "EFA", "EAFE", "EUR", "EZU", "SX5E" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "EURUSD=X", "EEM", "TLT" ], "ai_context": "EFA tracks EAFE (Europe, Japan, Australia). Bullish: EUR/JPY strength, ECB/BOJ dovishness, global reflation. Bearish: USD strength, European recession, geopolitical disruption." }, { "id": "GLD", "name": "Gold ETF", "yf_ticker": "GLD", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "GLD", "exchange": "NYSE", "category": "metal", "currency": "USD", "description": "SPDR Gold Shares — proxy physique de l'or", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 50, 100, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 50, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "real_rates_us", "label": "Taux Réels US", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.95, "keywords": [ "taux réels", "TIPS", "real yields", "Fed", "FOMC", "CPI", "breakeven", "inflation réelle" ] }, { "key": "dollar_index", "label": "Dollar Index", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "Dollar", "DXY", "dollar index", "USD", "faible dollar", "dollar fort" ] }, { "key": "inflation_expectations", "label": "Anticipations Inflation", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "inflation", "CPI", "PCE", "breakeven", "attentes d'inflation", "stagflation" ] }, { "key": "geopolitical_risk", "label": "Risque Géopolitique", "type": "geopolitical", "weight": 0.7, "keywords": [ "géopolitique", "guerre", "Moyen-Orient", "Iran", "Russie", "conflit", "Chine", "tension", "crise", "war" ] }, { "key": "cb_buying", "label": "Achats Banques Centrales", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.5, "keywords": [ "banque centrale", "central bank", "réserves", "gold reserves", "achats d'or", "PBOC gold", "dédollarisation" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Real Rates Falling", "Safe Haven Rally", "Inflation Hedge", "Dollar Weakness", "Range" ], "event_keywords": [ "CPI", "Fed", "FOMC", "Dollar", "Geopolitical", "Iran", "Gold", "guerre", "inflation" ], "related_assets": [ "GLD", "GC", "Gold", "XAU" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "TLT", "SLV", "EURUSD=X", "USDJPY=X" ], "ai_context": "GLD tracks physical gold. Primary driver: real rates (inverse). Bullish: falling real yields, dollar weakness, CB buying, geopolitical crises. Bearish: rising real yields, strong dollar." }, { "id": "SLV", "name": "Silver ETF", "yf_ticker": "SLV", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "SLV", "exchange": "NYSE", "category": "metal", "currency": "USD", "description": "iShares Silver Trust — proxy physique de l'argent métal", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "industrial_demand", "label": "Demande Industrielle", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.8, "keywords": [ "industrie", "manufacturing", "PMI", "production industrielle", "fabrique", "industry" ] }, { "key": "real_rates", "label": "Taux Réels", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "taux réels", "TIPS", "Fed", "FOMC", "real yields" ] }, { "key": "dollar", "label": "Dollar Index", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.7, "keywords": [ "Dollar", "DXY", "USD" ] }, { "key": "solar_ev_demand", "label": "Solaire / Véhicule EV", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.65, "keywords": [ "solaire", "solar", "EV", "véhicule électrique", "énergie verte", "green energy", "photovoltaïque", "battery" ] }, { "key": "gold_ratio", "label": "Ratio Or/Argent", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.6, "keywords": [ "Gold", "or", "ratio Or/Argent", "gold silver", "argent", "silver" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Industrial Demand", "Safe Haven Flow", "Dollar Weakness", "Risk-Off", "Range" ], "event_keywords": [ "Manufacturing", "PMI", "CPI", "Dollar", "Silver", "EV", "Solar", "taux réels" ], "related_assets": [ "SLV", "SI", "Silver" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "GLD", "USO", "EEM" ], "ai_context": "SLV tracks silver. Dual nature: monetary (like gold) + industrial (solar, EVs). Bullish: green energy demand, falling real rates, weak dollar. Bearish: manufacturing slowdown, strong dollar." }, { "id": "USO", "name": "WTI Oil ETF", "yf_ticker": "USO", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "USO", "exchange": "NYSE", "category": "energy", "currency": "USD", "description": "United States Oil Fund — proxy WTI (pétrole brut américain)", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "opec_policy", "label": "OPEP+ / Production", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.9, "keywords": [ "OPEC", "OPEP", "production pétrolière", "quotas", "Arabie Saoudite", "Saudi", "réduction", "coupes", "OPEC meeting" ] }, { "key": "inventories", "label": "Stocks EIA", "type": "report", "weight": 0.8, "keywords": [ "EIA", "stocks pétroliers", "inventaires", "inventories", "crude stocks", "rapport EIA", "crude supply" ] }, { "key": "geopolitical_risk", "label": "Risque Géopolitique", "type": "geopolitical", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "géopolitique", "Moyen-Orient", "Iran", "Russie", "conflit", "guerre", "war", "Golfe Persique", "tension" ] }, { "key": "global_demand", "label": "Demande Mondiale", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "demande mondiale", "China demand", "IEA", "croissance mondiale", "global demand", "reprise économique" ] }, { "key": "dollar", "label": "Dollar Index", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.7, "keywords": [ "Dollar", "DXY", "USD" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Supply Shock", "Demand Recovery", "Inventory Draw", "Geopolitical Premium", "Neutral" ], "event_keywords": [ "OPEC", "EIA", "Inventories", "Brent", "WTI", "Oil", "Middle East", "Saudi" ], "related_assets": [ "USO", "CL", "WTI", "Oil", "Brent" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "XOM", "EEM", "GLD", "UNG" ], "ai_context": "USO tracks WTI crude. Bullish: OPEC+ cuts, geopolitical disruption, demand recovery, weak dollar. Bearish: OPEC output increases, demand recession, inventory builds." }, { "id": "UNG", "name": "Natural Gas ETF", "yf_ticker": "UNG", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "UNG", "exchange": "NYSE", "category": "energy", "currency": "USD", "description": "United States Natural Gas Fund — proxy Henry Hub (gaz naturel)", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "weather_seasonality", "label": "Météo / Saisonnalité", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.9, "keywords": [ "météo", "weather", "hiver", "été", "froid", "chaleur", "El Niño", "La Niña", "saison", "vague de froid", "heat wave" ] }, { "key": "storage", "label": "Stockage EIA Gaz", "type": "report", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "EIA Gas Storage", "stockage gaz", "gas storage", "inventaires gaz", "rapport stockage gaz" ] }, { "key": "lng_exports", "label": "Exports LNG", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "LNG", "GNL", "exportations gaz", "terminal LNG", "gazoduc", "liquefied natural gas" ] }, { "key": "production", "label": "Production US", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.7, "keywords": [ "production gaz", "shale gas", "fracking", "puits gaz", "Marcellus", "Appalachian", "US gas output" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Winter Storage Fill", "Supply Glut", "Demand Surge", "Export LNG Lift", "Neutral" ], "event_keywords": [ "EIA Gas Storage", "LNG", "Gas", "Natural Gas", "Weather", "stockage gaz" ], "related_assets": [ "UNG", "NG", "Natgas" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "USO", "XOM" ], "ai_context": "UNG tracks natural gas (Henry Hub). Highly seasonal and weather-driven. Bullish: cold winter, low storage, LNG export growth. Bearish: warm weather, record storage builds." }, { "id": "TLT", "name": "US 20Y Treasury ETF", "yf_ticker": "TLT", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "TLT", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "category": "bond", "currency": "USD", "description": "iShares 20+ Year Treasury — proxy du rendement US 10Y/30Y", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "fed_path", "label": "Trajectoire Fed", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.9, "keywords": [ "FOMC", "Fed", "taux directeur", "Fed hike", "Fed cut", "pivot", "dot plot", "Federal Reserve" ] }, { "key": "inflation_expectations", "label": "Inflation / CPI", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "CPI", "PCE", "inflation", "déflation", "attentes", "breakeven", "inflation US" ] }, { "key": "growth", "label": "Croissance / NFP", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "GDP", "NFP", "récession", "croissance", "emploi", "PMI", "chômage", "payrolls" ] }, { "key": "deficit_supply", "label": "Déficit / Offre Treasury", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.7, "keywords": [ "déficit", "dette publique", "Treasury auction", "enchères", "budget", "fiscal", "dette fédérale" ] }, { "key": "risk_aversion", "label": "Fuite Vers Qualité", "type": "sentiment", "weight": 0.65, "keywords": [ "risk-off", "crise", "fuite vers la qualité", "safe haven", "vol spike", "contagion", "crise bancaire" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Safe Haven Bid", "Rate Shock Selloff", "QE Expectations", "Inflation Selloff", "Range" ], "event_keywords": [ "FOMC", "CPI", "Fed", "Treasury", "Yield", "Deficit", "NFP" ], "related_assets": [ "TLT", "TNX", "UST", "Bonds" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "SPY", "GLD", "HYG", "USDJPY=X" ], "ai_context": "TLT tracks 20Y US Treasuries. Bullish: recession fears, Fed cuts, falling inflation, risk-off. Bearish: rising inflation, Fed hikes, fiscal deficit expansion, strong growth." }, { "id": "HYG", "name": "High Yield Bond ETF", "yf_ticker": "HYG", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "HYG", "exchange": "NYSE", "category": "credit", "currency": "USD", "description": "iShares iBoxx USD High Yield Corporate Bond — baromètre du crédit HY", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "default_rate", "label": "Taux de Défaut", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "défauts", "default", "faillite", "bankruptcy", "spreads HY", "taux de défaut", "HY spreads" ] }, { "key": "growth", "label": "Croissance Économique", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.8, "keywords": [ "GDP", "récession", "croissance", "PMI", "emploi", "payrolls", "activité" ] }, { "key": "liquidity", "label": "Conditions de Liquidité", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.8, "keywords": [ "liquidité", "crédit", "QT", "QE", "conditions financières", "FCO", "financial conditions" ] }, { "key": "risk_appetite", "label": "Appétit pour le Risque", "type": "sentiment", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "risk-on", "risk-off", "appétit pour le risque", "flux crédit", "sentiment marché" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Credit Expansion", "Credit Crunch", "Spread Compression", "Recession Fear", "Neutral" ], "event_keywords": [ "Credit", "Default", "GDP", "FOMC", "Recession", "HY", "spreads" ], "related_assets": [ "HYG", "LQD", "Credit", "HY" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "SPY", "IWM", "TLT" ], "ai_context": "HYG tracks US high-yield corporate bonds. Key credit stress barometer. Bullish: strong growth, low defaults, liquidity expansion. Bearish: recession, default cycle, credit crunch." }, { "id": "EURUSD=X", "name": "EUR/USD", "yf_ticker": "EURUSD=X", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "EUR.USD", "exchange": "FX", "category": "fx", "currency": "USD", "description": "Taux spot Euro / Dollar américain", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": false }, "drivers": [ { "key": "fed_ecb_differential", "label": "Différentiel Fed/BCE", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.95, "keywords": [ "BCE", "ECB", "Fed", "FOMC", "différentiel", "taux directeurs", "politique monétaire", "rate differential" ] }, { "key": "rate_differential_2y", "label": "Taux 2 ans US-EUR", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "taux 2 ans", "Bund 2Y", "Treasury 2Y", "swap", "différentiel de taux", "2Y spread" ] }, { "key": "inflation_differential", "label": "Inflation US vs EUR", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "CPI", "inflation", "PCE", "HICP", "zone euro", "inflation différentiel" ] }, { "key": "dxy", "label": "Dollar Index DXY", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.7, "keywords": [ "Dollar", "DXY", "dollar index", "USD", "dollar fort", "faible dollar" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "EUR Strength (ECB Hawkish)", "USD Strength (Fed Hawkish)", "Risk-On EUR Rally", "Risk-Off USD Safe", "Range" ], "event_keywords": [ "ECB", "FOMC", "CPI", "EUR", "Dollar", "Fed", "Eurozone", "BCE" ], "related_assets": [ "EUR", "USD", "EURUSD", "6E" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "GLD", "EFA", "TLT" ], "ai_context": "EUR/USD driven by Fed-ECB rate differential. EUR bullish: ECB hawkishness, European growth surprise, risk-on. EUR bearish: Fed hawkishness, European recession, risk-off USD demand." }, { "id": "USDJPY=X", "name": "USD/JPY", "yf_ticker": "USDJPY=X", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "USD.JPY", "exchange": "FX", "category": "fx", "currency": "JPY", "description": "Taux spot Dollar américain / Yen japonais", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": false }, "drivers": [ { "key": "boj_policy", "label": "BOJ Policy", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.95, "keywords": [ "BOJ", "Banque du Japon", "Ueda", "YCC", "yield curve control", "politique monétaire japonaise", "BOJ rate", "JGB" ] }, { "key": "rate_diff_us_jp", "label": "Différentiel US-JP", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.9, "keywords": [ "différentiel US-Japon", "JGB", "UST", "rendements US-JP", "US Japan spread", "10Y spread" ] }, { "key": "fed_policy", "label": "Fed Policy", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "Fed", "FOMC", "taux directeur US", "hawkish Fed", "Fed hike", "Federal Reserve" ] }, { "key": "risk_appetite", "label": "Risk Appetite / Carry", "type": "sentiment", "weight": 0.7, "keywords": [ "risk-off", "carry trade", "yen safe haven", "crise", "carry unwind", "yen refuge" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Carry Trade On", "BOJ Tightening Surprise", "Risk-Off JPY Safe Haven", "Dollar Bull", "YCC Adjustment" ], "event_keywords": [ "BOJ", "Fed", "Japan", "YCC", "Carry", "JPY", "Yen", "taux Japon" ], "related_assets": [ "JPY", "USDJPY", "6J", "Yen" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "TLT", "GLD", "VXX" ], "ai_context": "USD/JPY driven by US-Japan rate differential and BOJ yield curve control. USD bullish: Fed hikes, BOJ ultra-dovish. JPY bullish: BOJ tightening surprise, risk-off. Watch: BOJ meetings, 10Y UST-JGB spread." }, { "id": "GBPUSD=X", "name": "GBP/USD", "yf_ticker": "GBPUSD=X", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "GBP.USD", "exchange": "FX", "category": "fx", "currency": "USD", "description": "Taux spot Livre Sterling / Dollar américain", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": false }, "drivers": [ { "key": "boe_policy", "label": "BOE Policy", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.9, "keywords": [ "BOE", "Bank of England", "Bailey", "taux UK", "Royaume-Uni", "Angleterre", "UK rate", "BOE meeting" ] }, { "key": "uk_inflation", "label": "Inflation UK", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.8, "keywords": [ "inflation UK", "CPI UK", "CPIH", "RPI", "inflation Angleterre" ] }, { "key": "uk_growth", "label": "Croissance UK", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "GDP UK", "PMI UK", "croissance UK", "récession UK", "UK economy", "UK GDP" ] }, { "key": "political_risk", "label": "Risque Politique UK", "type": "geopolitical", "weight": 0.65, "keywords": [ "politique UK", "budget UK", "Labour", "Tories", "fiscal UK", "gilt", "UK budget", "Reeves" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "GBP Strength (BOE Hawkish)", "USD Dominance", "Political Risk GBP", "UK Recession Pressure", "Range" ], "event_keywords": [ "BOE", "Fed", "UK", "Britain", "GBP", "Pound", "UK CPI" ], "related_assets": [ "GBP", "GBPUSD", "6B", "Pound" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "EURUSD=X", "TLT" ], "ai_context": "GBP/USD reflects BOE vs Fed differential plus UK political risk premium. GBP bullish: BOE hawkishness, strong UK data, political stability. GBP bearish: UK recession, political uncertainty." }, { "id": "VXX", "name": "VIX Tracker", "yf_ticker": "VXX", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "VXX", "exchange": "CBOE", "category": "volatility", "currency": "USD", "description": "iPath VIX Short-Term Futures ETN — proxy de la peur et de la volatilité implicite", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 10, 20, 50 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "market_stress", "label": "Stress de Marché", "type": "geopolitical", "weight": 0.9, "keywords": [ "krach", "crash", "crise", "choc", "panic", "volatilité", "vol spike", "selloff", "capitulation", "contagion" ] }, { "key": "risk_appetite", "label": "Peur / Risk-Off", "type": "sentiment", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "risk-off", "risk-on", "sentiment", "fear", "peur", "greed", "appétit risque", "VIX spike" ] }, { "key": "options_demand", "label": "Demande Options (Puts)", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "options", "puts", "hedging", "protection", "skew", "IV", "couverture", "implied vol", "volatilité implicite" ] }, { "key": "macro_uncertainty", "label": "Incertitude Macro", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.7, "keywords": [ "FOMC", "surprise", "incertitude", "géopolitique", "macro", "inflation choc", "data surprise" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Low Vol Complacency", "Vol Spike Crisis", "Vol Expansion", "Vol Compression", "Neutral" ], "event_keywords": [ "VIX", "Volatility", "Crisis", "FOMC", "Market Stress", "peur", "vol spike" ], "related_assets": [ "VXX", "VIX", "UVXY", "SVXY" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "SPY", "TLT", "GLD" ], "ai_context": "VXX tracks short-term VIX futures. Spikes on: market crashes, geopolitical shocks, FOMC surprises. Mean-reverts due to futures roll decay. Watch: VIX term structure, SPX put skew." }, { "id": "AAPL", "name": "Apple Inc", "yf_ticker": "AAPL", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "AAPL", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "category": "stock", "currency": "USD", "description": "Apple Inc. — ecosystème consommateur tech et services", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "iphone_cycle", "label": "Cycle iPhone", "type": "report", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "iPhone", "Apple", "AAPL earnings", "supercycle", "launch", "iPhone 16", "hardware" ] }, { "key": "china_sales", "label": "Ventes Chine", "type": "geopolitical", "weight": 0.8, "keywords": [ "Chine", "China", "Huawei", "ban Apple", "restrictions Apple", "China sales", "marché chinois" ] }, { "key": "ai_integration", "label": "Apple Intelligence / IA", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "Apple Intelligence", "AI", "IA", "Siri", "machine learning", "IA Apple", "generative AI" ] }, { "key": "margins", "label": "Services & Marges", "type": "report", "weight": 0.7, "keywords": [ "services", "App Store", "iCloud", "marge Apple", "services revenue", "abonnements" ] }, { "key": "fed_policy", "label": "Valorisation / Taux", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.65, "keywords": [ "Fed", "taux", "valorisation", "taux d'intérêt", "discount rate" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Growth Bull", "Rate Squeeze", "Earnings Beat", "Tech Selloff", "Neutral" ], "event_keywords": [ "Apple Earnings", "iPhone", "Services", "China", "Fed", "AI", "AAPL" ], "related_assets": [ "AAPL", "Apple" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "QQQ", "NVDA", "SPY" ], "ai_context": "AAPL is world's largest market cap. Key drivers: iPhone cycle, Services revenue growth, China exposure, AI integration. Watch: quarterly earnings, China sales, Apple Intelligence traction." }, { "id": "NVDA", "name": "NVIDIA Corp", "yf_ticker": "NVDA", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "NVDA", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "category": "stock", "currency": "USD", "description": "NVIDIA Corporation — leader mondial des GPU pour IA et data centers", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "ai_capex_cycle", "label": "Capex IA / Hyperscalers", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.95, "keywords": [ "IA", "AI", "data center", "capex", "Nvidia", "GPU", "H100", "Blackwell", "NVLink", "hyperscalers", "infrastructure IA" ] }, { "key": "earnings_growth", "label": "Croissance Bénéfices", "type": "report", "weight": 0.9, "keywords": [ "NVDA earnings", "résultats Nvidia", "revenues", "data center revenue", "beat", "guidance" ] }, { "key": "data_center_demand", "label": "Demande Data Center", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "Amazon AWS", "Microsoft Azure", "Google Cloud", "data center", "cloud", "computing", "GPU demand" ] }, { "key": "export_restrictions", "label": "Restrictions Export", "type": "geopolitical", "weight": 0.7, "keywords": [ "export control", "restrictions export", "Chine", "China ban", "BIS", "CISA", "H20", "chip ban" ] }, { "key": "rates", "label": "Taux / Valorisation", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.6, "keywords": [ "taux", "valorisation", "growth stock", "multiples", "discount rate", "Fed" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "AI Bull Run", "AI Hype Correction", "Earnings Catalyst", "Rate Compression", "Consolidation" ], "event_keywords": [ "NVIDIA Earnings", "AI", "Data Center", "Export", "GPU", "NVDA", "Blackwell" ], "related_assets": [ "NVDA", "NVIDIA", "AI" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "QQQ", "AAPL", "SPY" ], "ai_context": "NVDA dominates AI infrastructure (H100/Blackwell GPUs). Bullish: AI capex spending, earnings beats, new GPU launches. Bearish: US-China export restrictions, AI spending slowdown." }, { "id": "GS", "name": "Goldman Sachs", "yf_ticker": "GS", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "GS", "exchange": "NYSE", "category": "stock", "currency": "USD", "description": "The Goldman Sachs Group — banque d'investissement globale", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "yield_curve", "label": "Courbe des Taux", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "courbe des taux", "2Y-10Y", "steepening", "inversion", "yield curve", "10Y-2Y", "pente" ] }, { "key": "ma_activity", "label": "M&A / Activité Deals", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.8, "keywords": [ "M&A", "fusion-acquisition", "LBO", "IPO", "deal", "advisory", "boutique", "transaction" ] }, { "key": "rates", "label": "Taux d'Intérêt", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.8, "keywords": [ "taux", "Fed", "intérêts", "NIM", "net interest margin", "Fed rate", "interest rates" ] }, { "key": "credit_conditions", "label": "Conditions de Crédit", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "crédit", "spreads", "conditions financières", "leverage loans", "credit tightening" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Finance Bull", "Recession Fear", "Yield Curve Steepen", "M&A Boom", "Range" ], "event_keywords": [ "Goldman", "Financials", "Yield Curve", "M&A", "Banking", "Fed", "Credit" ], "related_assets": [ "GS", "Goldman", "XLF", "Financials" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "SPY", "TLT", "HYG" ], "ai_context": "Goldman benefits from: steep yield curve, M&A advisory boom, robust trading. Bullish: rate curve steepening, IPO/M&A surge. Bearish: yield curve inversion, recession, credit crisis." }, { "id": "XOM", "name": "ExxonMobil", "yf_ticker": "XOM", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "XOM", "exchange": "NYSE", "category": "stock", "currency": "USD", "description": "Exxon Mobil Corporation — major pétrolier intégré mondial", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "oil_price", "label": "Prix du Pétrole", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.9, "keywords": [ "WTI", "Brent", "pétrole", "crude", "oil price", "prix pétrole", "cours pétrole" ] }, { "key": "global_demand", "label": "Demande Mondiale", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.8, "keywords": [ "demande mondiale", "China demand", "IEA", "croissance", "global demand", "reprise" ] }, { "key": "opec_policy", "label": "OPEP+ Production", "type": "event_calendar", "weight": 0.75, "keywords": [ "OPEC", "OPEP", "quotas", "production", "Saudi", "Arabie Saoudite", "réduction" ] }, { "key": "capex", "label": "Capex / Investissement", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.6, "keywords": [ "capex", "investissement", "forage", "upstream", "exploration", "rig count" ] }, { "key": "dollar", "label": "Dollar Index", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.6, "keywords": [ "Dollar", "DXY", "USD" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Energy Bull", "Demand Slowdown", "OPEC Benefit", "Green Transition Drag", "Range" ], "event_keywords": [ "Oil", "OPEC", "Energy", "XOM", "EIA", "Crude", "Exxon", "WTI" ], "related_assets": [ "XOM", "Exxon", "CL", "Oil", "Energy" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "USO", "UNG", "EEM" ], "ai_context": "XOM revenues highly correlated to oil/gas prices. Bullish: OPEC cuts, geopolitical supply risk, refining margins. Bearish: oil price collapse, global recession, energy transition." }, { "id": "BTC-USD", "name": "Bitcoin", "yf_ticker": "BTC-USD", "saxo_quote_symbol": null, "ib_ticker": "BTC", "exchange": "Crypto", "category": "crypto", "currency": "USD", "description": "Bitcoin — premier actif décentralisé, indicateur de liquidité et Risk-On", "chart": { "ma_periods": [ 20, 50, 200 ], "bollinger_period": 20, "bollinger_std": 2, "show_volume": true }, "drivers": [ { "key": "global_liquidity", "label": "Liquidité Mondiale", "type": "fundamental", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "liquidité mondiale", "M2", "Fed", "QE", "QT", "conditions financières", "liquidity", "money supply" ] }, { "key": "etf_flows", "label": "Flux ETF Bitcoin", "type": "report", "weight": 0.85, "keywords": [ "ETF Bitcoin", "spot BTC ETF", "BlackRock", "Fidelity", "flux ETF", "ETF approval", "IBIT", "FBTC" ] }, { "key": "risk_appetite", "label": "Sentiment Risk-On", "type": "sentiment", "weight": 0.8, "keywords": [ "risk-on", "risk-off", "crypto", "sentiment", "appétit pour le risque", "halving", "cycle crypto" ] }, { "key": "regulatory", "label": "Réglementation Crypto", "type": "geopolitical", "weight": 0.7, "keywords": [ "réglementation crypto", "SEC", "CFTC", "crypto ban", "ETF approval", "régulation", "MiCA" ] }, { "key": "dollar", "label": "Dollar Index", "type": "technical", "weight": 0.65, "keywords": [ "Dollar", "DXY", "USD", "dédollarisation" ] } ], "regime_labels": [ "Crypto Bull (ETF Inflows)", "Risk-Off Crypto Selloff", "Liquidity Expansion", "Regulatory Fear", "Consolidation" ], "event_keywords": [ "Bitcoin", "BTC", "Crypto", "ETF", "Fed", "Liquidity", "Regulation", "halving" ], "related_assets": [ "BTC", "Bitcoin", "Crypto" ], "correlation_instruments": [ "SPY", "QQQ", "GLD" ], "ai_context": "Bitcoin: high-beta risk asset + emerging macro hedge. Bullish: Fed liquidity expansion, spot ETF inflows, halving cycle. Bearish: regulatory crackdown, risk-off, Fed tightening." } ] }