On restart the scheduler was counting interval_hours from now, ignoring
when the last cycle actually ran. It now reads last_run_at (in-memory or
DB) and deducts elapsed time so a restart doesn't silently push the next
fire by a full interval.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- database.py: add trade_budget_eur / preferred_horizon_min/max config
defaults and include them in cycle config migrations
- auto_cycle.py: read trade params from config and inject into cycle_meta
- ai_analyzer.py: inject INVESTOR TRADE MANDATE block into scoring and
suggestion prompts so GPT-4o penalises horizon mismatches and sizes
within the capital cap
- Config.tsx: Trade Parameters card with budget + horizon sliders and live
mandate summary
- TradeIdeas.tsx: horizon filter pills (< 1M / 1-3M / 3-6M / > 6M) and
budget/horizon indicator pulled from saved config
- useApi.ts: extend useUpdateCycleConfig type with new config fields
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- economic_events table in DB (series_id, actual, forecast_baseline, surprise_pct, surprise_zscore, direction)
- DB helpers: save_economic_event(), get_recent_economic_surprises(), get_economic_events_for_calendar()
- fred_fetcher.py: _compute_zscore_surprise() computes 12-period MA as implied consensus + z-score deviation; save_fred_releases_to_db() persists releases per cycle; build_economic_surprise_block() formats significant surprises for AI prompt
- auto_cycle.py: saves FRED releases to economic_events each cycle, appends surprise block to fred_block for injection into both suggestion and scoring prompts
- data_fetcher.py: get_economic_calendar() now merges static upcoming events with past FRED actuals from DB (Prev/Fcst/Actual/z-score fields populated)
- CalendarPage.tsx: past events show colored z-score badge (⚡ for |z|≥1.5, bullish/bearish colors)
- EconomicEvent type: added surprise_zscore, surprise_direction, source fields
Activates automatically once fred_api_key is set in Configuration.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- New institutional_reports table (DB) with importance, signals per asset class, key points, absorption tracking
- cot_fetcher.py: CFTC Socrata API (6dca-aqww), 7 instruments (Gold/Silver/Copper/WTI/NatGas/SP500/EURUSD), net positioning + 52-week z-score
- eia_fetcher.py: EIA API v2, 4 series (crude/Cushing/gasoline/distillates), WoW surprise detection
- institutional.py router: GET /reports, GET /reports/{id}, POST /refresh, GET /stats
- institutional_scheduler.py: weekly auto-fetch (COT Saturdays, EIA Wednesday afternoons)
- ai_analyzer.py: build_institutional_block() + institutional_block param injected into AI scoring prompt
- auto_cycle.py: inject institutional block into suggestion + scoring, absorption tracking via keyword overlap after each cycle commentary
- InstitutionalReports.tsx: full page with filter bar (type/category/importance/period), cards with key point bullets, EXTREME alerts highlighted, signal badges, absorption badge, trading implications, expandable detail
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Complete French→English translation across all frontend pages and backend
services — every label, button, header, empty state, toast, and nav item
is now in English. Build verified clean (tsc + vite). No i18n library
added; direct string replacement throughout.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Phase 1 — Catégorisation:
- database.py: ADD COLUMN category + signal_direction on custom_patterns (migration);
save_custom_pattern persists category/signal_direction; new helpers:
get_unclassified_patterns(), update_pattern_classification(),
get_patterns_with_last_score()
- ai_analyzer.py: PATTERN_CATEGORIES dict (8 categories: géopolitique, macro_monétaire,
technique, commodités_supply, risk_off, flux_saisonnier, géo_économique, crédit_stress);
classify_patterns_batch() → GPT-4o-mini batch classification
- suggest schema: added category + signal_direction fields so new patterns are
classified from birth
- auto_cycle.py: Step 3.1 classifies all unclassified patterns after each suggestion
Phase 2 — Convergence layer (post-scoring, no extra AI call):
- ai_analyzer.py: _compute_convergence() groups scored patterns by (underlying, signal_direction);
conviction_bonus = min(20, +5 per additional agreeing pattern); adds conviction_score,
conviction_bonus, convergence_count, convergence_underlying, convergence_partners to each result;
called at end of score_patterns_with_context(), re-sorts by conviction_score
- auto_cycle.py: logs convergence summary after scoring; propagates category/signal_direction
to scored results for display
Phase optionnelle — Convergence in suggestion prompt:
- ai_analyzer.py: suggest_patterns_from_market_context() accepts convergence_block param;
injected into prompt so AI knows which underlyings have multi-pattern agreement
- auto_cycle.py: before suggestion, loads last-cycle scores via get_patterns_with_last_score(),
calls _compute_convergence() to build convergence block, passes to suggester
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- auto_cycle.py: _scheduler_loop now distinguishes weekday (interval_hours)
from weekend (weekend_cycle_times UTC slots or sleep until Monday);
_parse_weekend_times() and _next_weekend_slot() helpers;
get_status() exposes weekend_cycle_enabled + weekend_cycle_times
- cycle.py: CycleConfigRequest adds weekend_cycle_enabled + weekend_cycle_times;
update_cycle_config validates HH:MM format and persists to config DB
- Config.tsx: weekend scheduling section with enable toggle + time picker
(06:00/08:00/12:00/18:00/22:00/00:00 UTC presets, multi-select);
weekendEnabled + weekendTimes state synced from cycle status
Default: enabled with 08:00 + 22:00 UTC (covers news scan + Globex open Sunday)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- auto_cycle.py: detect weekend/market session, build cycle_meta with day_of_week/is_weekend/market_note;
IVGate skips iv_rank>=99 on weekends to avoid artificial weekend option premium cascade;
inject portfolio context (open trades + price moves + concentration) before AI scoring;
pass portfolio_context_block + run_id to both AI scorer and suggester
- ai_analyzer.py: _build_temporal_news_block injects market session banner (WEEKEND warning,
pre/after-market note, or open session label) so AI knows markets are closed and defers execution to Monday
- iv_engine.py: add WHEAT/EUR/USD ticker aliases; skip saving IV snapshots on weekends to protect history;
resolve aliases before slash-format conversion in _resolve_ticker
- technical_indicators.py: fix pandas MultiIndex from yfinance>=0.2 (droplevel+squeeze);
use period proportional to lookback instead of fixed period=1d
- database.py: asset_class ticker-based fallback (_asset_class_from_ticker); one-time backfill migration
for all NULL asset_class rows; ai_call_logs table + save/get helpers; normalize_ticker public function
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Portfolio context (portfolio_context.py):
- get_open_trades_with_moves(): fetches open trades + 1d/5d yfinance price moves
- get_portfolio_concentration(): counts by asset_class
- build_portfolio_context_block(): formatted prompt block with strict AI instructions
(no double positions, flag contradictions, avoid overweight classes)
AI call logging:
- ai_call_logs table in DB (run_id, call_type, system/user prompt, response, tokens, ms)
- _chat() now accepts log_meta dict → saves call to DB non-blocking after each call
- suggest and score_batch calls pass run_id + call_type for full traceability
auto_cycle.py:
- Builds portfolio context before snapshot and both AI calls
- Context snapshot now includes portfolio_open_positions key
SystemLogs.tsx:
- "Contexte IA" tab gains sub-tabs: Contexte / Appels IA
- AiCallRow: expandable with 3 panes (user prompt / system prompt / response)
shows model, tokens breakdown, duration, call type badge
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Phase 4 — Price Discovery Status (la pièce maîtresse) :
- price_discovery.py (nouveau) : capture_price_snapshots() sauve les prix des tickers
liés à chaque news scorée (energy→BZ=F/NG=F, metals→GC=F/HG=F, indices→^GSPC/IWM)
- compute_absorptions() mesure combien du mouvement attendu s'est déjà produit
(status: not_yet_priced <30% / partially_priced 30-80% / fully_priced >80%)
- build_price_discovery_block() → bloc prompt avec opportunités classées
- database.py : table news_price_snapshots + save/get/purge fonctions
- auto_cycle.py : capture après ai_score_news_batch, compute avant suggestions,
block injecté dans suggestion + scoring prompts + context snapshot
- ai_analyzer.py : param price_discovery_block dans suggest + score
Phase 5 — Replay historique :
- cycle.py : POST /api/cycle/contexts/{run_id}/replay — recharge le snapshot historique
et relance suggest_patterns_from_market_context avec le contexte original
- useApi.ts : hook useReplayCycle
- SystemLogs.tsx : bouton "Rejouer ce cycle" dans onglet Contexte IA avec champ
notes, résultats inline (liste des patterns générés), section price_discovery
ouverte par défaut en rouge
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Phase 2 — Données macro FRED :
- fred_fetcher.py (nouveau) : 7 séries FRED (CPI, NFP, UNRATE, FEDFUNDS, GDP, ICSA,
spread 10Y-2Y) avec détection direction bullish/bearish et block prompt formaté
- ai_analyzer.py : param fred_block dans suggest + score, injecté dans les deux prompts
- auto_cycle.py : fetch FRED non-bloquant avant la suggestion
Context log — Snapshot du contexte complet :
- database.py : table cycle_context_snapshots + save/get/list fonctions
- auto_cycle.py : sauvegarde le snapshot (meta, news partitionnées, FRED, tech, IV, quotes)
- cycle.py : GET /api/cycle/contexts + GET /api/cycle/contexts/{run_id}
- useApi.ts : hooks useCycleContextSnapshots + useCycleContextSnapshot
- SystemLogs.tsx : onglet "Contexte IA" avec liste de cycles et visualiseur JSON
par section (cycle_meta, macro, news, FRED, tech) avec accordéon
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- database.py: get_last_completed_cycle_ts() pour mesurer le delta entre cycles
- auto_cycle.py: calcul delta_minutes + cycle_meta dict transmis aux fonctions IA
- ai_analyzer.py: apply_news_decay() (halflife par catégorie), partition_news_by_age()
(3 buckets: inter_cycle / recent_24h / older), _build_temporal_news_block() pour
le prompt suggestion; cycle_meta injecté aussi dans score_patterns_with_context()
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Backend: get_status() now resolves scoring_run_id by querying
trade_entry_prices within the cycle time window, fixing the mismatch
between cycle run_id and the id actually written to trades
- Dashboard: Trades du cycle filters by scoring_run_id (no stale fallback)
- Dashboard: Pattern du cycle shows only patterns added in last cycle
(created_at >= started_at), renamed from Top Patterns
- Dashboard: Dernier Cycle now shows 4 stats (patterns/scorés/loggés/fermés)
+ IA commentary snippet
- Dashboard: P&L simulated mode bottom half shows open/closed/capital/profit
- Dashboard: Régime Macro shows top 4 scenario score bars
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- auto_cycle.py: replace _log with logger (NameError at lines 484/489)
- auto_cycle.py: normalize underlying via _normalize_ticker before _resolve_ticker
so WHEAT→ZW=F→WEAT and EUR/USD→EURUSD=X→FXE reach the IV watchlist correctly
- iv_engine.py: _resolve_ticker now strips slash-format forex (EUR/USD→EURUSD=X)
before _PROXY lookup, fixing yfinance 500/404 spam from get_atm_iv
- database.py: _fetch in log_trade_entries uses _normalize_ticker (not _normalize_yf_ticker)
so commodity aliases like WHEAT→ZW=F are applied at price-fetch time
- ai_analyzer.py: max_workers=1 for batch scorer — parallel workers both slept and
retried simultaneously after 429, causing repeated bursts; sequential fixes the pattern
- journal.py + JournalDeBord.tsx: add price_warning field (no_price_data/no_entry_price/
no_live_price) with visible ⚠ badge and amber color on affected ticker/price cells
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Backend:
- DB: add system_logs table (level/source/cycle_id/ticker/message) and
iv_watchlist table (ticker/added_by/is_active); seed builtin 18 tickers
- DBLogHandler attached at startup — all WARNING+ logs auto-persist to DB
- log_system_event() helper for structured manual events
- New router /api/logs: GET with filters (level, source, cycle_id, ticker,
date range), GET /sources, GET /cycles for dropdowns, DELETE /clear
- iv_watchlist now read from DB instead of hardcoded constant; options_vol
watchlist/refresh/bootstrap endpoints all use get_watchlist_tickers()
- New endpoints: POST/DELETE /options-vol/watchlist-tickers/{ticker} to
add/remove tickers; adding triggers background 1-year bootstrap
- auto_cycle: after log_trade_entries(), auto-detect new underlying proxies
not yet in watchlist, add them and bootstrap their IV history
Frontend:
- New page SystemLogs (/logs): log table with level/source/cycle/ticker/date
filters, color-coded rows, expandable JSON details, auto-refresh 30s
- Options Lab: WatchlistManager section — add ticker input, chip list with
builtin/auto/manual color coding, remove button for non-builtins
- Sidebar: Logs Système nav link (ScrollText icon)
- useApi: useSystemLogs, useLogSources, useLogCycles, useClearLogs,
useWatchlistTickers, useAddWatchlistTicker, useRemoveWatchlistTicker
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- JournalDeBord: trade rows now expand inline (full-width) instead of
PostmortemPanel appearing below the whole table. Click anywhere on a
row to toggle. Period selector extended to 15/30/60/90j.
- Config: added Rétention Journal (30/60/90/180j) and Seuil Maturité
(20/30/35/50%) controls, wired to the Appliquer button.
- Backend: journal_retention_days and maturity_threshold_pct read from
config table; seeded at startup with defaults 90d / 35%. get_status()
now returns both values so Config page can initialise correctly.
- cycle.py: CycleConfigRequest accepts and validates both new params.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
The auto-cycle was saving new IV snapshots to SQLite but not clearing
the in-memory cache in options_vol.py (TTL 1h), so the Options Lab
page kept showing stale IV Rank data until the cache naturally expired.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Sprint 2.1 — Pattern Reliability Score
- database.py: get_pattern_reliability() — win_rate × log(n+1) sur trades matures (≥35% horizon)
- database.py: get_all_pattern_reliability_map() pour injection rapide dans les prompts
- ai_analyzer.py: inject reliability_map dans suggest_patterns (patterns fiables mis en avant)
- auto_cycle.py: charge reliability_map avant suggestion et le passe au suggéreur
- routers/analytics.py: GET /api/analytics/reliability
- PatternEditor.tsx: ReliabilityBadge sur chaque card + usePatternReliability hook
- useApi.ts: usePatternReliability, useCalibration hooks
Sprint 2.2 — Contre-thèses & Invalidation Triggers
- database.py: migration ALTER TABLE — counter_thesis, invalidation_trigger, invalidation_probability
- database.py: save_custom_pattern() persiste les 3 nouveaux champs
- ai_analyzer.py: counter_thesis + invalidation_trigger + invalidation_probability dans le JSON schema
- auto_cycle.py: détection automatique des triggers d'invalidation contre les news (keyword match)
- routers/analytics.py: GET /api/analytics/invalidation-alerts
- PatternEditor.tsx: affichage contre-thèse dans les cards + champs dans le formulaire
- PatternEditor.tsx: affichage dans AiSuggestModal (suggestions IA)
- routers/patterns.py: PatternRequest inclut les 3 nouveaux champs
Sprint 2.3 — Calibration probabiliste & Demi-vie KB
- database.py: migration — predicted_probability sur pattern_score_history
- database.py: save_pattern_scores() stocke probability du pattern à chaque scoring run
- database.py: get_calibration_data() — Brier score + buckets de calibration par décile
- database.py: expires_at + confidence_decay_days sur knowledge_base
- database.py: decay_kb_confidence() — decay automatique + archivage à 0
- auto_cycle.py: decay_kb_confidence() appelé au début de chaque cycle (non-bloquant)
- routers/analytics.py: GET /api/analytics/calibration + POST /api/analytics/kb/decay
- frontend/src/pages/Analytics.tsx: nouvelle page — tableau fiabilité + calibration Brier
- App.tsx + Sidebar.tsx: route /analytics + entrée menu
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- auto_cycle.py: next_run_at now set to future timestamp (now + interval)
instead of current time — was always showing wrong value
- Config.tsx: NextRunCountdown component shows live countdown (updates
every second) + absolute local time, only visible when auto-cycle enabled
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Fix NameError: len(meaningful) → len(meaningful_mature) (ligne 624)
- _auto_synthesize_knowledge() appelé même si pas assez de trades matures,
pour que le Super Contexte se mette à jour à chaque cycle (gate 6h suffit)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- ai_analyzer: add explicit calibration rules to SYSTEM_SCORER and batch
prompt so GPT-4o produces a spread of scores rather than defaulting
to 50 for all patterns (0-news patterns capped at 35, contra patterns
at 40, high-signal patterns can reach 70-85)
- auto_cycle: add _auto_synthesize_knowledge() called after each auto
portfolio snapshot; skips if last synthesis < 6h old to avoid
redundant GPT-4o calls — Super Contexte now updates automatically
every cycle without manual intervention
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
