fix: seuil fedFwdC/ecbFwdC 0.4→0.08 — PMI EU/US colorise le nœud CPI

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
OpenSquared
2026-06-26 23:36:01 +02:00
parent 48e8d0de37
commit c764bcba8c

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@@ -280,8 +280,9 @@ function CausalChain({ r, base, p }: { r: ModelResult; base: Params; p: Params }
// ── Node colors ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// CPI/NFP/PMI inputs → forward guidance signal (positive = hawkish Fed = red for EUR)
const fedFwdC = col3(r.fed_fwd_signal, 0.4)
const ecbFwdC = col3(-r.ecb_fwd_signal, 0.4) // ECB hawkish fwd signal → green for EUR
// Threshold 0.08 so PMI alone (~0.09-0.15 at typical deviations) triggers color
const fedFwdC = col3(r.fed_fwd_signal, 0.08)
const ecbFwdC = col3(-r.ecb_fwd_signal, 0.08) // ECB hawkish fwd signal → green for EUR
// CB nodes: combined rate + tone signal dominates
const fedC = col3(r.fed_rate_pressure + r.fed_fwd_signal * 0.4, 0.25)