Commit Graph

80 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
OpenSquared
d9762deca7 feat: custom date range filter on calendar page
- Backend: /api/eco/calendar accepts date_from + date_to query params
  when period=custom; get_calendar() uses them directly without override
  Limit raised to 5000 for wide date ranges
- Frontend: "Custom" tab at end of period list; shows two date inputs
  (from/to) with Apply button; displays day count; fetches on Apply click
  (not on every keystroke to avoid hammering the API)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 17:17:01 +02:00
OpenSquared
c36b2b2198 feat: FF HTML scraper for upcoming weeks with forecasts
- scrape_upcoming(weeks_ahead=5) in ff_calendar.py:
  fetches forexfactory.com/calendar?week=... HTML for N weeks ahead,
  parses calendar__table (date/time/currency/impact/event/forecast/previous),
  converts ET times to UTC, upserts into ff_calendar
- Daily scheduler in main.py: runs scrape_upcoming at startup (after 30s delay)
  then every 24h — no manual action needed
- New endpoints: POST /api/eco/ff-scrape?weeks=5, GET /api/eco/ff-scrape/status
- CalendarPage: "Scrape Upcoming (5w)" button (indigo) with polling + result

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 17:14:00 +02:00
OpenSquared
7aca0c307a feat: FF CSV bundled in image + auto-import on startup
- forex_factory_cache.csv moved to backend/ (Docker build context)
  → available at /app/forex_factory_cache.csv inside container
- main.py startup: auto-imports CSV in background thread if ff_calendar empty
  (idempotent — skips if rows already present)
- CSV path candidates: /app/ (Docker) → /tmp/ (upload) → local dev paths
- CalendarPage: remove Upload CSV + Import into DB buttons
  → replaced by auto-import status indicator + Sync Live only

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 16:58:31 +02:00
OpenSquared
afbfeff468 feat: FF→FRED series mapping + MacroSeries visualization page
Backend:
- ff_calendar: add series_id column (migration) + FF_TO_FRED mapping dict
  (NFP→PAYEMS, CPI→CPIAUCSL, Jobless Claims→ICSA, GDP→GDPC1, FEDFUNDS, PCE)
- import_csv + sync_live now populate series_id on each FF event
- New GET /api/eco/series/{id}/history: FRED time series + linked FF events
  (surprises, forecast, actual) merged by date — enables context queries

Frontend:
- New MacroSeriesPage.tsx: sidebar with 11 FRED series grouped by category,
  recharts ComposedChart with area + z-score surprise reference lines (|z|≥1.5),
  KPI cards (latest/prev/min/max), FF events table (actual vs forecast coloring),
  z-score bar chart for recent surprises, range selector (1Y/2Y/5Y/10Y/All)
- Route /macro-series + Sidebar entry "Macro Series"

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 16:51:55 +02:00
OpenSquared
b187107468 fix: FF calendar upload endpoint + path resolution for server deployment
- Add POST /api/eco/ff-upload to receive CSV from browser (saves to /tmp)
- _find_csv() checks /tmp, /app, project root — works local + Docker
- _run_ff_import now takes explicit csv_path parameter
- Frontend: Upload CSV button (file input) → uploads to server first,
  then Import into DB — with upload progress messages

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 16:36:31 +02:00
OpenSquared
4053e0669d feat: Forex Factory calendar — unified past+future list style Trading Economics
- New ff_calendar table (event_date, time, currency, impact, actual, forecast, previous)
- New service ff_calendar.py: bulk CSV import (83K events 2007-2025) + live sync
  from faireconomy.media JSON endpoint (this week / next week)
- New API endpoints: POST /api/eco/ff-import, POST /api/eco/ff-sync,
  GET /api/eco/calendar (period filter), GET /api/eco/ff-stats
- CalendarPage.tsx full rewrite: period tabs (Recent/Today/Tomorrow/This Week…),
  currency flags filter, impact filter, unified date-grouped table with
  Time·Flag·Currency·Impact·Event·Actual·Forecast·Previous columns,
  green/red actual vs forecast, TODAY badge, auto-refresh 60s

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 16:32:26 +02:00
OpenSquared
915560bc31 feat: upcoming economic releases panel on Calendar page
- eco.py: GET /api/eco/upcoming — estimates next release date per series
  from last stored date + frequency + typical publication lag; returns
  status (imminent/due_soon/upcoming/scheduled/overdue/no_data)
- CalendarPage.tsx: UpcomingPanel component in right sidebar showing
  next expected dates, J-N countdown, last value + direction signal;
  color-coded by urgency (orange=cette semaine, yellow=attendu, blue=ce mois)

Dates are approximate (freq + typical lag), not official FRED schedule.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 16:01:26 +02:00
OpenSquared
b058b7297a fix: use FRED official JSON API (bypasses CloudFlare) + API key UI
- fred_bootstrap.py: switch from CSV graph endpoint (CloudFlare-blocked)
  to api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations JSON API; reads key
  from DB config 'fred_api_key'; returns clear error if key missing
- eco.py: add GET/POST /api/eco/fred-key to check/save the FRED API key
- CalendarPage.tsx: BootstrapPanel shows API key section with status,
  input to paste key + save button, disables Launch if key missing

Free key: fred.stlouisfed.org -> My Account -> API Keys

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 15:47:16 +02:00
OpenSquared
64ff777da6 feat: FRED bootstrap + Calendar page complete rebuild
- backend/services/fred_bootstrap.py: fetch 11 FRED series (PAYEMS, UNRATE, CPI, PCE, FEDFUNDS, ICSA, GDP, HY spread, T10Y2Y, T10Y3M) from public CSV endpoint — no API key needed; computes rolling z-scores and upserts into economic_events table
- backend/routers/eco.py: new /api/eco router with bootstrap (POST + status GET), events list with full filtering (date range, category, series, min z-score, direction, sort/pagination), series catalog, and db status endpoints
- backend/main.py: register eco router
- frontend/src/pages/CalendarPage.tsx: complete rewrite — real data table from /api/eco/events, Bootstrap FRED button with live polling, filter bar (date range, category, series chips, |z| threshold, direction), sort by date/z-score/series, pagination, z-score badges with color coding, sidebar with series inventory + geo alerts + z-score guide

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 14:42:44 +02:00
OpenSquared
325d52b3b9 feat: market events db migration + generation date filter
Database migration:
- Add 'origin' and 'source_refs' columns to market_events ALTER TABLE migration
  (sub_type/actual_value/expected_value/surprise_pct were already there)
- All new tables (macro_gauge_snapshots, ai_desks) created via CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS
  on next init_db() call (container restart)

Backend:
- GET /api/market-events/db-status — health check returning row counts,
  latest dates, and missing columns for all 6 tables needed by the detector
- list_events() now accepts gen_date_from / gen_date_to query params
  filtering by date(created_at) — separate from start_date event date filters

Frontend (MarketEvents.tsx):
- MarketEvent interface: add created_at field
- EventRow: show generation date as MM-DD next to event date
- Extended filters: new ' Date de génération' section with from/to inputs
  filtered independently from the event date range
- Clear-all button includes genFrom/genTo reset

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 14:23:09 +02:00
OpenSquared
27ee4410cf refactor: separate Sentiment and Technical desks — no signal overlap
- Mark 6 price signals (ma_cross, rsi_extreme, bb_squeeze, new_52w_extreme, price_gap, volume_spike) as desk_type=technical so they no longer appear in the Sentiment desk
- Sentiment desk now shows MacroGaugeSelector (32 gauges grouped by bloc: Liquidité, Crédit, Volatilité, Métaux…) instead of the stock/ETF instrument picker
- Sentiment desk instruments seed updated to macro gauge keys (vix, vvix, skew, hyg, dxy, slope_10y3m, gold_copper_ratio)
- Signal init useEffect extended to cover sentiment desk as well as technical

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 13:48:14 +02:00
OpenSquared
85eb864584 feat: macro gauge DB + regime triggers + date-aware instrument snapshot
DB:
- New table macro_gauge_snapshots (daily snapshot of all 28+ gauges + dominant + scores)
- save_macro_gauge_snapshot / get_macro_gauge_snapshot_at / get_macro_gauge_history
- Auto-save once per calendar day on every macro-regime fetch (not just force=True)

API:
- GET /api/market/macro-gauges/at?date=YYYY-MM-DD — nearest snapshot ≤ date
- GET /api/market/macro-gauges/history?days=N

Detector (_check_macro_gauges in Eco Desk):
- Regime transition events (goldilocks→stagflation etc.) with severity scoring
- Yield curve inversion / désinversion (slope_10y3m sign change)
- DXY shock (% change over lookback window)
- Credit stress (HYG drop threshold)
- Gold/Copper ratio regime crossings

InstrumentDashboard:
- macroAtDate state: fetches /api/market/macro-gauges/at when crosshair date ≠ last date
- RegimeCard uses historical macro regime when on a past date
- MacroGaugePanel: full breakdown of all gauges by bloc (liquidité, crédit, énergie...)
  visible only when on a historical date — shows value + change_pct + regime scores bar

AIDesks: added fundamental + sentiment to AIDesk type

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 09:34:35 +02:00
OpenSquared
a12d7a1ef3 feat: 6 AI desks complets — fundamental, report, sentiment (options triggers)
- Fundamental Desk: filtre corporate news (layoffs, M&A, earnings, credit)
  avec prompt dédié + dedup sémantique
- Report Desk: wiring desk config (days, min_importance, system_prompt)
- Sentiment Desk: 5 signaux VIX/SKEW pour options lab
  (vix_level thresholds, vix_spike %, vix_term_structure, vvix_extreme, skew_extreme)
  Chaque event contient options_note actionnable (vente puts, straddles, calendar spreads)
- check_new_market_events() couvre les 6 sources, charge desk configs dynamiquement
- Signal catalog: 12 signaux (7 technical + 5 sentiment), filtrés par desk_type dans UI
- AIDesks.tsx: FundamentalConfig + ReportConfig + SignalToggle filtré par desk type
- 3 nouveaux desks seedés dans init_db (idempotent)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 09:21:29 +02:00
OpenSquared
97706dea7b feat: AI Desks — configurable agent system for news/technical/eco processing
- New ai_desks table with CRUD (get_all/by_type/upsert/delete)
- ai_desks router: REST API + GET /signal-catalog (7 extensible signals)
- News Desk: semantic dedup via AI (±N days window, system_prompt hint)
- Technical Desk: 4 signal detectors driven by desk config
  (ma_cross, rsi_extreme, bb_squeeze, new_52w_extreme)
- 3 more signals in catalog ready to enable: price_gap, volume_spike, macd_crossover
- market_event_detector.py loads desk configs at runtime, falls back to legacy params
- AIDesks.tsx: full editor UI with signal toggles, param sliders, instrument multi-select
- Sidebar: Bot icon + /ai-desks route

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-25 23:08:14 +02:00
OpenSquared
acab69b65c fix: always GROUP BY me.id in market_events list query
The LEFT JOIN on instrument_impacts (added for the evaluated subquery)
generates N rows per event when the event has N impacts. GROUP BY was
only applied when the instrument filter was active — now it's always on.
Fixes: total=2 but list shows 6+ duplicates.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-25 21:53:14 +02:00
OpenSquared
332d5ad743 fix: evaluated field on event list + abort race condition
- Backend: add evaluated subquery column to list SELECT so each event
  returns evaluated=1/0 (was missing, causing all events to appear
  as unevaluated regardless of filter)
- Frontend: AbortController cancels the previous in-flight fetch when
  a new load fires, preventing stale results from overwriting current
  filter state

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-25 21:36:12 +02:00
OpenSquared
f71e3be3ff feat: market events filters, no-auto-bootstrap, star label deoverlap
- MarketEvents: date presets (7j/30j/3m/6m/1an/Tout/Perso), instrument
  impact filter (ticker + min score + direction → auto-sort by inst score),
  sort controls (date/score/nom + asc/desc), clear-all button, count bar
- Market events list endpoint: full SQL JOIN rewrite supporting instrument
  filter, date range, origin, sort_by=instrument_score
- Disable auto-bootstrap on startup (macro/eco/categories) — manual only
- CycleActions: bootstrap group (Macro/Eco/Categories) with force checkbox,
  grouped layout (detection / bootstrap / data / ai / portfolio)
- cycle_actions router: /bootstrap-macro, /bootstrap-eco, /bootstrap-categories
  endpoints + group field on all action catalogue entries
- InstrumentChart: greedy row placement for star labels (4 rows × 20px)
  to eliminate horizontal overlap; labels now inline (★ + text)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-25 21:27:21 +02:00
OpenSquared
0b1fcff49c feat: Market Events — catégories, cleanup sidebar, rename
- Supprime Timeline & ImpactMonitor du routing (redirects /impact + /timeline → /market-events)
- Renomme 'Instrument Snap.' → 'Instrument Analysis' dans la sidebar
- Onglet 'Catégories & Defaults' dans Market Events: CRUD complet (créer/éditer/supprimer)
  chaque catégorie a une table d'impacts par défaut (instrument, sensibilité, direction, notes)
- impact_service: meilleur matching catégorie (sub_type fuzzy + type fallback)
- DB: delete_event_category() + DELETE /api/impact/categories/{name}

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-25 21:11:24 +02:00
OpenSquared
bd28b6a73a feat: origin tracing on all market_events
- DB: colonne origin (migration + UPDATE heuristique sur données legacy)
- save/update_market_event: persist origin
- Tous les points de création taguent leur origine:
    bootstrap_macro/eco/ma/legacy | detector_news/eco/technical/report | manual
- UI MarketEvents: badge d'origine avec icône + description dans le panneau détail,
  icône tooltip dans la liste gauche, message explicite si pas de source_refs

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-25 20:58:05 +02:00
OpenSquared
d5da4737ef feat: Market Events admin page — source_refs + per-instrument impacts
- DB: colonne source_refs sur market_events (migration idempotente)
- save/update_market_event: persist source_refs (JSON array de {url,title,source})
- market_event_detector: stocke source_refs + évalue impacts instruments après chaque création
- Nouveau router /api/market-events: CRUD + evaluate + impacts CRUD
- Page MarketEvents.tsx: liste filtrée/triée + panneau détail (sources cliquables,
  tableau impacts par instrument avec score/direction/rationale inline-éditables,
  ajout manuel, bulk-evaluate)
- Sidebar: entrée Market Events (Radio icon)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-25 18:29:09 +02:00
OpenSquared
9afc01c7f5 feat: isolated cycle action — Check New Market Events
Décompose le cycle en 8 actions appelables individuellement.
Action 1 implémentée : scan de 4 sources (news RSS, surprises FRED,
MA crossovers yfinance, rapports institutionnels) → création de
market_events avec déduplication. UI CycleActions page + sidebar link.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-25 18:07:38 +02:00
OpenSquared
a68896cf67 feat: Impact Monitor — AI impact evaluation for eco events & geopolitical news
- New DB tables: event_categories (18 bootstrap categories) + instrument_impacts
- impact_categories_bootstrap.py: FOMC/NFP/CPI/GDP/PCE/ISM/BOJ/ECB/BOE/OPEC+ + 7 géopolitical categories with per-instrument sensitivity & direction defaults
- impact_service.py: GPT-4o-mini evaluation (0-1 score, direction, rationale) + monitor data aggregation
- routers/impact.py: GET/POST endpoints for evaluate/bulk/monitor/adjust/categories
- ImpactMonitor.tsx: two-tab page (Évalués / À évaluer), top instruments bar, inline score override modal, category browser
- Startup auto-bootstrap for impact categories
- Route /impact + sidebar nav entry

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-25 16:26:13 +02:00
OpenSquared
3470205d54 feat: eco calendar bootstrap + driver types + timeline cursor
Backend:
- eco_calendar_bootstrap.py: 75 historical events 2020-2026 (FOMC, NFP,
  CPI, GDP, ISM, BOJ, ECB, BOE) with expected_value/actual_value/
  surprise_pct/unit/absorption_pct fields
- database.py: 5 new columns on market_events (expected_value,
  actual_value, surprise_pct, unit, sub_type) + updated save_market_event
- timeline.py: POST /api/timeline/bootstrap-eco endpoint
- instrument_service.py: _get_relevant_events now returns eco fields
- instruments.json: type field on all 90 drivers across 20 instruments
  (event_calendar | report | geopolitical | fundamental | sentiment | technical)

Frontend (InstrumentDashboard):
- EventTimelineStrip: vertical cursor line tracking crosshair selectedDate
- EventsCard: active-event highlight at hovered date + expected/actual/
  surprise_pct display + absorption progress bar
- DriversPanel: type selector dropdown per driver
- DriverTypeBadge: colored micro-badge on driver labels in strip

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-25 00:07:41 +02:00
OpenSquared
aec9ced74f feat: macro regime + 30 historical events + regime confidence fix
- Add macro_regime (goldilocks/stagflation/recession/etc.) to every instrument snapshot via get_macro_gauges() + score_macro_scenarios()
- RegimeCard now shows global macro cycle section (emoji + label + top-3 scenarios) above technical signals
- Fix _detect_regime() confidence: capped at 85% max; add late-bull (dist_MA200 > 20%) and correction-in-bull (MA50 > MA200 but momentum < -3%) detection so regime no longer locks at 100%
- Add macro_events_bootstrap.py with 30 curated historical events (FOMC 2022-2025, CPI surprises, Ukraine/Hamas/Iran geopolitics, BOJ pivots, Bitcoin ETF, Liberation Day tariffs, SVB crisis, etc.)
- POST /api/timeline/bootstrap-macro endpoint (idempotent, deduplicates by name)
- Fix event date filter in _get_relevant_events(): overlap logic instead of start-only filter — events extending into the chart window are now included
- EventTimelineStrip: add "Signaux Techniques" fallback row for events not matched by any driver keyword (MA crossovers are now always visible)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-24 23:24:24 +02:00
OpenSquared
aa81598278 feat: driver-based timeline strip, regime signal metrics, drivers editor
- instruments.json: add keywords array to every driver across 20 instruments
  (Fed, BCE, BOJ, OPEC, CPI, AI, EIA, etc.) for event-to-driver matching
- instrument_service.py: add update_instrument_drivers() persisting changes to JSON
  and refreshing in-memory cache
- instruments.py: add PUT /api/instruments/{id}/drivers endpoint (DriverUpdate model)
- InstrumentDashboard:
  * RegimeCard: replace regime score bars with 6-metric signal grid
    (MA50/MA200 position, MA50 slope, MA200 slope, momentum 20j, dist MA200, ATR vol ratio)
    with colour-coded values and contextual sub-labels (Golden cross, Surextension, etc.)
  * EventTimelineStrip: rows now keyed by top-4 instrument drivers (by weight)
    instead of LT/MT/CT; events matched via case-insensitive keyword scan against
    title + description + category; fallback dashed line when no events match
  * DriversPanel: inline edit panel (toggle via Drivers button in header);
    edit label, weight, keywords (comma-separated) per driver; add/remove drivers;
    saves via PUT /api/instruments/{id}/drivers; optimistic local state update

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-24 22:48:10 +02:00
OpenSquared
537fea8148 feat: Instrument Snapshot Dashboard — 5-layer synchronized view for 20 instruments
- 20 instruments configured (equity indices, metals, energy, bonds, FX, stocks, crypto)
  each with custom drivers, regime labels, MA periods, event keywords, ai_context
- InstrumentChart: TradingView lightweight-charts candlesticks + MA lines + Bollinger
  + volume histogram + macro event markers overlaid on price
- InstrumentDashboard: regime detection card (scores + signals), trend indicators
  (RSI gauge, MA slopes, momentum, 52W range), events card (links to Timeline),
  AI narrative via GPT-4o-mini (cached by day)
- Backend: instrument_service (OHLCV fetch, indicators, regime scoring, GPT narrative)
  + /api/instruments router (3 endpoints)
- Route: /instruments/:id with selector dropdown, period buttons (3M/6M/1Y/2Y/5Y)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-24 21:36:39 +02:00
OpenSquared
edfa90c9b7 feat: vertical 3-column timeline + MA regime bootstrap engine
- TimelineVertical: replace horizontal frise with Y=time vertical layout,
  3 columns (Long/Medium/Short), auto-scroll to selected date, sub-columns
  for overlapping events, today/selected-date horizontal lines
- ma_analyzer.py: detect MA50/MA200 crossovers + MA100 slope changes +
  MA20 direction swings on EUR/USD, Brent, Gold, S&P500, US10Y (5y history)
  with 5-bar confirmation, dedup, GPT-4o-mini enrichment, idempotent DB save
- POST /api/timeline/bootstrap-ma endpoint to trigger analysis
- Bootstrap MA button in Timeline page with loading state + result count

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-24 21:01:01 +02:00
OpenSquared
aeb5233deb feat: frise sub-lanes + event manager + MA indicators + absorption
Frise chronologique:
- Sub-lane stacking (assignSubLanes) — overlapping events se décalent verticalement
- Zone d'overlap semi-transparente sur la période commune entre 2 événements
- Hauteur dynamique selon nb de sub-lanes par niveau
- Événements en cours avec flèche ▶ à droite, gradient de fin
- Tri par start_date pour placement greedy

Event Manager (composant EventManager.tsx):
- Tableau filtrable par niveau (Long/Moyen/Court)
- Edit modal complet : tous les champs + absorption_pct éditable
- Bouton "IA — Enrichir" par événement → POST /api/timeline/events/{id}/ai-enrich
  → GPT-4o-mini suggère absorption_pct + indicateurs pertinents par niveau temporel
- Delete avec confirmation double-clic
- Expand row pour voir description + indicateurs
- Intégré Timeline page via bouton "Gérer événements"

Backend:
- Nouvelles colonnes market_events: absorption_pct + relevant_indicators (ALTER idempotent)
- DELETE /api/timeline/events/{id}
- POST /api/timeline/events/{id}/ai-enrich

Snapshot Externe:
- AbsorptionBar par événement dans cellule Géopolitique
- MA indicators : fetch 200j history, compute MA10/MA20/MA100 per level (short/med/long)
- Affichage prix vs MA + % écart dans CellMarkets
- Si relevant_indicators configurés sur l'event → utilise ces symbols au lieu des défauts
- Calendar : horizons exclusifs (short 0-7j, medium 8-30j, long 31-90j) — bug corrigé

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-24 20:31:57 +02:00
OpenSquared
c6178c14d5 feat: Timeline Navigator — contexte historique 3 temporalités COVID → aujourd'hui
- 2 nouvelles tables SQLite : market_events + timeline_context
- 32 événements historiques seedés (long/medium/short de feb 2020 à juin 2026)
- timeline_service.py : bootstrap, get_events_for_date, génération commentaires GPT-4o-mini
- /api/timeline router : GET /day/{date}, GET /events, POST /generate/{date}, POST /bootstrap
- Timeline.tsx : navigateur date avec strip visuel, 3 panneaux contextuels, catalogue d'événements
- Sidebar : entrée Timeline avec icône Layers

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-24 17:45:35 +02:00
OpenSquared
3b7fa35456 feat: Specialist Desks v2 — COT, Forward Curves, Surprise Index, Hawk/Dove scorer
- COT Positioning: CFTC disaggregated + financial futures (19 markets) via Socrata free API
  net MM position % OI + weekly change stored in cot_data table
- Forward Curves: yfinance front-month vs +3M slope (8 commodities)
  contango/backwardation/flat stored in forward_curve_data table
- Surprise Index: consensus_estimate + actual_value on specialist_reports
  auto-computes surprise_score = actual - consensus on save
- Hawk/Dove Text Scorer: GPT-4o-mini endpoint for CB statements
  score -1..+1, label, summary, key_phrases (forex/bonds: hawk/dove; commodities: bull/bear)
- AI context injection: COT net positioning, forward curve structure,
  surprise scores, upcoming consensus estimates injected into all desk blocks
- Frontend: COT panel (net% bars), Forward Curves panel, SurpriseInput
  on report cards, Hawk/Dove scorer in forex/bonds config tab
- auto_cycle.py: non-blocking COT + curve refresh before each cycle

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-23 18:00:46 +02:00
OpenSquared
91f12e177f feat: pattern calibration — progressive AI→observed expected_move blending
DB (database.py):
- 3 new columns on custom_patterns: calibrated_expected_move, calibration_weight, observed_avg_win_pct
- update_bayesian_posteriors() now also computes credibility blend w=n/(n+5):
  calibrated = (1-w)*ai_estimate + w*observed_avg_win_pct (only when wins exist)
- log_trade_entries() prefers calibrated_expected_move when w>10%
- get_calibration_summary() returns per-pattern state (source: pure_ai/early/mixed/data_driven)

Backend (patterns.py, auto_cycle.py):
- GET /api/patterns/calibration endpoint
- calibration_report block in cycle report: counts by source, avg weight, per-pattern detail

Frontend (PatternExplorer.tsx, RapportIA.tsx, useApi.ts):
- MaturityBadge on each PatternCard: blend bar (AI→observed), win rate, AI estimate vs calibrated
- usePatternCalibration hook
- Cycle report: calibration section with global bar + per-pattern table (weight%, n_trades, WR, AI→calibrated)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-23 12:38:16 +02:00
OpenSquared
a630cdc708 feat: Find Similar + Merge in Pattern Library
Backend (patterns.py):
- POST /api/patterns/find-similar — GPT-4o-mini compares a library pattern
  against all others; returns merge_as_instance | counter_scenario | new_pattern
- POST /api/patterns/merge — full transactional merge: remaps pattern_id in
  pattern_score_history, trade_entry_prices, ai_reasoning_traces, ai_call_logs,
  skipped_trades; unions historical_instances (dedup); sums backtest counters;
  deletes the discarded pattern

Frontend (PatternExplorer.tsx + useApi.ts):
- ScanSearch button on each non-builtin card triggers find-similar
- Inline result panel: duplicate → merge CTA with confirmation + destructive warning
  counter_scenario → apply regime_tag CTA; new_pattern → green "unique" badge
- useFindSimilarPattern + useMergePatterns hooks invalidate all-patterns on success

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-23 12:13:33 +02:00
OpenSquared
2f9d067a94 fix: InstitutionalReports — signal-aware category filter + Agri/Crypto/Bonds/Indices pills + Specialist Desks link
- Backend: category filter now ORs signal column so multi-category reports (category='multi') appear when filtering by Forex/Energy/Metals/Indices — fixes blank results
- Frontend: category pills expanded to match desk taxonomy (agri, crypto, bonds, indices added; equities kept for compatibility)
- Frontend: banner pointing to /specialist-desks clarifies the split between auto-fetched reports and manual desk report scheduling

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-23 10:13:40 +02:00
OpenSquared
2fb683eec5 feat: Specialist Desks — per asset-class fundamental configs + report catalogue
- 7 pre-seeded desks (Forex, Metals, Agri, Energy, Indices, Crypto, Bonds)
  each with default fundamental drivers, macro regime sensitivities and
  price delta thresholds
- Global report catalogue (specialist_reports) fully manual — add any report
  including non-calendar ones (e.g. Cocoa Grinding Report, ICCO)
- Many-to-many report ↔ desk linking (report_desk_links table)
- 12 default reports pre-seeded (COT, EIA, WASDE, FOMC, ECB, CPI, NFP…)
- AI scorer injects SPECIALIST DESK context block for asset classes present
  in each scoring batch (upcoming reports, key drivers, regime sensitivity)
- /specialist-desks page: desk sidebar + fundamentals editor + macro
  sensitivity tag editor + reports tab + global reports catalogue + modal
  to create/edit any report with desk assignment

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-23 09:57:18 +02:00
OpenSquared
f2dd859ba0 fix: PatternLab save UX — color-coded toasts + meaningful error feedback
- handleSave now shows a red toast "Lancez d'abord un backtest" instead of
  silently returning when activeRun is null (was completely invisible to user)
- All toasts now color-coded: green (emerald) for success, red for errors
- list_runs now includes context_snapshot so market data table shows when
  loading a historical run from the right panel

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 22:30:47 +02:00
OpenSquared
33097e1812 fix: custom tickers now placed in their natural asset-class tab
- Detect yfinance quote_type (CURRENCY→forex, FUTURE→energy, INDEX→indices,
  ETF→etfs, EQUITY→equities) when adding a custom ticker and persist it in
  market_watchlist.asset_class
- get_all_quotes() merges custom tickers into their proper group (e.g. EURUSD=X
  appears under Forex) instead of always under a separate "Custom" group
- "Custom" tab only shows tickers whose type couldn't be detected
- Add market_watchlist.asset_class migration; ensure backtest_lab_runs and
  market_watchlist are always created at init_db() time

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 22:11:31 +02:00
OpenSquared
c3ea0b7f8c feat: dynamic market ticker watchlist (Markets page)
Add ability to add/remove custom tickers (e.g. EURCHF=X) on the
Markets & Prices page without editing config. Tickers are validated
via yfinance, persisted in market_watchlist SQLite table, merged into
the quotes feed as a 'custom' group, and shown in a dedicated tab
with per-card remove buttons.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 21:54:58 +02:00
OpenSquared
78c60d5254 feat: Pattern Lab Discover + fix history run display
Fix: history runs now always show results — create synthetic selected preset
from run data when no matching preset found (was broken for custom events).
Also force mode='events' and reset matchResults on history load.

Discover tab: new "Discover" panel in left sidebar (AI knowledge search).
- GPT-4o generates 6 matching events from a free-text query (date, assets, hint)
- Confidence score + category badge per event
- Click → pre-fills experiment form exactly like a preset → ready to Run
- Backend: POST /api/pattern-lab/discover (DiscoverRequest, sorted by confidence)
- Frontend: useDiscoverEvents hook + DiscoveredEvent type + Discover UI with
  Enter-to-search, spinner, empty states

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 21:36:00 +02:00
OpenSquared
a2315c3b78 feat: inline edit for patterns in library (name, description, category, direction, regime)
- Backend: PATCH /api/patterns/custom/{id} — partial update, only provided fields changed
- useApi.ts: usePatchPattern mutation hook
- PatternCard: pencil icon (non-builtin only) → edit mode with inline inputs for name, description, direction (select), category, and #regime; ✓/✗ buttons to save or cancel; card border highlights blue while editing

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 21:13:34 +02:00
OpenSquared
a435c11246 feat: regime system — Find Matching + By Regime view
- Pattern Lab: "Find Matching" button per pattern uses GPT-4o-mini to classify against library (merge_as_instance / counter_scenario / new_pattern); shows match badge + confidence + suggested #regime_tag; conditional action buttons (Merge / Save counter / Save new)
- save_pattern_from_run handles action='instance' (appends to historical_instances + updates stats), action='counter' (new pattern with counter_of link, tags parent regime_tag), action='new' (unchanged + regime_tag support)
- useApi.ts: extended useSaveLabPattern type + new useFindMatchingPattern mutation + MatchResult export type
- DB migrations: regime_tag + counter_of columns on custom_patterns
- PatternExplorer: new "By Regime" view groups saved patterns by regime_tag; RegimeCard shows historical instances, hit rate, counter-of link (orange); untagged group at bottom

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 20:52:11 +02:00
OpenSquared
198341b0c2 fix: trade_budget_eur + preferred_horizon saved and reloaded in Config
Backend:
- CycleConfigRequest: add trade_budget_eur, preferred_horizon_min/max fields
  (were missing — Pydantic silently dropped them, so saves never reached set_config)
- update_cycle_config: handle + persist the 3 new fields via set_config
- get_status(): read + return trade_budget_eur/preferred_horizon_min/max from DB
  (were missing — frontend always fell back to React default values on page load)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 20:25:31 +02:00
OpenSquared
6cca7f66b6 feat: ticker validation + SLV/USO/WEAT/CORN/TUR added to ETFs watchlist
Backend:
- GET /api/market/validate?symbol= — validates ticker against yfinance,
  returns {valid, name, price} or {valid: false, reason: 'helpful message'}
- Added SLV, USO, WEAT, CORN, TUR to ETFs WATCHLIST category

Frontend:
- validateTicker() async helper exported from useApi.ts
- InstrumentPicker (PatternLab): custom ticker field now validates before selecting
  Shows spinner while checking, red error message if not found on yfinance
- InstrumentLens (PatternExplorer): same validation on Go button + Enter key

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 20:15:26 +02:00
OpenSquared
5ff5006dec feat: add purge-all for Pattern Library + clarify Trade Ideas in Data Management
Backend: DELETE /api/patterns/purge-all — removes all custom + backtested patterns
(source != 'builtin'), leaves Pattern Lab run history intact.

Frontend Config > Data Management:
- New PurgeButton for Pattern Library (custom_patterns table)
- Updated note: Trade Ideas are computed live from the Pattern Library (no separate table),
  so purging patterns resets trade idea generation on next cycle.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 18:42:11 +02:00
OpenSquared
66f6607568 feat: Data Management tab — purge endpoints for all major data stores
Backend — new DELETE /purge-all endpoints:
  - /api/logs/purge-all          → truncate system_logs (immediate, no 30d wait)
  - /api/reports/purge-all       → cycle_reports + ai_reports
  - /api/portfolio/purge-all     → portfolio + trade_entry_prices
  - /api/analytics/purge-all     → pattern_score_history, regime_clusters,
                                    pattern_embeddings, cycle_runs,
                                    macro_regime_history, geo_alert_history
  - /api/var/purge-all           → var_snapshots + pnl_snapshots
  - /api/pattern-lab/purge-all   → backtest_lab_runs

Frontend — Config.tsx: new 'Data Management' tab
  - PurgeButton component with inline double-confirm (click Purge → confirm)
  - Shows table names affected + row count deleted
  - 6 purge actions: Logs, AI Reports, Portfolio, Analytics, VaR, Pattern Lab

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 18:25:01 +02:00
OpenSquared
303ecc2a3a feat: instrument picker + Pattern Lab instrument scan mode
- instruments.ts: 90 IB-options-tradable instruments in 12 categories
  (US Indices, Europe, Asia, EM, Sectors, Forex, Bonds, Metals, Energy,
   Agriculture, Crypto, Volatility) — EUR/CHF, Cotton, etc. all included

- PatternExplorer: replace text input in Instrument Lens with categorised
  grid picker (category pill filters + search + custom ticker fallback)

- PatternLab: add Instrument Scan tab alongside Event Presets
  - Pick any instrument from the shared categorised picker
  - Set period (start/end date) + horizon per pattern
  - AI scans the full period: identifies 4-6 key pattern instances each with
    their own entry date, expected move, strategy
  - 'Evaluate outcomes' fetches actual price at T+horizon per pattern
  - 'Save pattern' promotes any instance to the Pattern Library

- backend/services/pattern_lab.py: run_instrument_scan() + evaluate_instrument_outcomes()
  (per-pattern analysis_date vs shared date in event mode)
- backend/routers/pattern_lab.py: POST /instrument-scan + POST /evaluate-instrument/{id}
- useApi.ts: useInstrumentScan + useEvaluateInstrumentScan hooks

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 18:20:22 +02:00
OpenSquared
cbf989502c feat: Pattern Lab — historical backtest engine for pattern discovery
- Remove all built-in patterns (no proof of legitimacy); seed_builtin_patterns is now a no-op
- DB: add backtest_lab_runs table + backtest_hits/runs_count columns on patterns
- services/pattern_lab.py: build_historical_context (yfinance + RSI/MA200),
  run_ai_backtest (GPT-4o as historical analyst), evaluate_outcomes (actual moves at T+horizon)
- routers/pattern_lab.py: POST /run, POST /evaluate/{id}, GET /runs, DELETE /runs/{id},
  POST /save-pattern (promotes hit pattern to library with reliability counters)
- PatternLab.tsx: 34 preset events 2015-2025 (macro/geo/credit/fx/commodities/volatility/tech),
  3-panel layout — preset selector + wizard + run history, market data table,
  AI pattern cards with hit/miss outcome display, Save to Library button
- useApi.ts: usePatternLabRuns, useRunPatternLab, useEvaluatePatternLab, useSaveLabPattern, useDeleteLabRun
- Sidebar + App.tsx: /pattern-lab route + FlaskConical nav link

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 17:55:48 +02:00
OpenSquared
10ffc345d6 feat: Pattern Explorer — taxonomy tree + 23 historical patterns + instrument lens
- PatternExplorer.tsx: new page with two views:
    • Tree View — 6-root taxonomy (geopolitical, monetary_policy, economic,
      commodity, risk_off, market_structure) with collapsible sub-nodes;
      pattern cards appear on node selection
    • Instrument Lens — search any ticker (e.g. GLD, FXE) to see every
      pattern + scenario that references it, with matching trades highlighted
- geo_analyzer.py: PATTERN_TAXONOMY tree constant + taxonomy_path on all
  patterns; 15 new documented patterns P009-P023 (BoJ YCC, SVB crisis,
  Taiwan semis, OPEC cuts, Fed pivot, Debt ceiling, Iran nuclear, DPRK,
  VIX backwardation, ECB surprise, Extreme Fear contrarian, S. China Sea,
  European energy, CPI hot print, Flash crash)
- patterns.py: GET /api/patterns/taxonomy, GET /api/patterns/by-instrument
- database.py: taxonomy_path migration + seed_builtin_patterns updates path
- App.tsx: /patterns → PatternExplorer, /patterns/edit → PatternEditor

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 16:42:45 +02:00
OpenSquared
acc8bef29d feat: 4 remaining institutional reports — Earnings, VX curve, Central Bank RSS, Sentiment
New fetchers (no API keys required):
- earnings_fetcher.py: yfinance EPS calendar + surprise tracking for 23 geo-relevant tickers
- vx_fetcher.py: VIX term structure (^VIX/^VXV/^VXMT) + CBOE delayed futures, regime detection
- central_bank_fetcher.py: Fed + ECB RSS feeds, keyword-based hawkish/dovish classification
- sentiment_fetcher.py: CNN Fear & Greed (primary) + NAAIM + AAII (optional fallbacks)

Wiring:
- institutional_scheduler.py: all 4 now scheduled daily (≥08:00 UTC), deduplicated per day
- institutional.py /refresh: all 6 types handled with _run() helper
- ai_analyzer.py build_institutional_block(): limit 6→12, generic header text
- InstitutionalReports.tsx: 6-type color map, individual refresh buttons, expanded filters

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 14:26:19 +02:00
OpenSquared
3edbd6b0b7 feat: institutional reports — CFTC COT + EIA petroleum weekly
- New institutional_reports table (DB) with importance, signals per asset class, key points, absorption tracking
- cot_fetcher.py: CFTC Socrata API (6dca-aqww), 7 instruments (Gold/Silver/Copper/WTI/NatGas/SP500/EURUSD), net positioning + 52-week z-score
- eia_fetcher.py: EIA API v2, 4 series (crude/Cushing/gasoline/distillates), WoW surprise detection
- institutional.py router: GET /reports, GET /reports/{id}, POST /refresh, GET /stats
- institutional_scheduler.py: weekly auto-fetch (COT Saturdays, EIA Wednesday afternoons)
- ai_analyzer.py: build_institutional_block() + institutional_block param injected into AI scoring prompt
- auto_cycle.py: inject institutional block into suggestion + scoring, absorption tracking via keyword overlap after each cycle commentary
- InstitutionalReports.tsx: full page with filter bar (type/category/importance/period), cards with key point bullets, EXTREME alerts highlighted, signal badges, absorption badge, trading implications, expandable detail

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-22 13:45:07 +02:00
OpenSquared
319ac35a26 feat: weekend-aware scheduler with configurable cycle times
- auto_cycle.py: _scheduler_loop now distinguishes weekday (interval_hours)
  from weekend (weekend_cycle_times UTC slots or sleep until Monday);
  _parse_weekend_times() and _next_weekend_slot() helpers;
  get_status() exposes weekend_cycle_enabled + weekend_cycle_times
- cycle.py: CycleConfigRequest adds weekend_cycle_enabled + weekend_cycle_times;
  update_cycle_config validates HH:MM format and persists to config DB
- Config.tsx: weekend scheduling section with enable toggle + time picker
  (06:00/08:00/12:00/18:00/22:00/00:00 UTC presets, multi-select);
  weekendEnabled + weekendTimes state synced from cycle status

Default: enabled with 08:00 + 22:00 UTC (covers news scan + Globex open Sunday)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-21 20:00:06 +02:00